Democrats Still Winning The Long Game

  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 08, 2010 9:37 AM GMT
    I know what you're thinking. It feels like things can't get much worse for the Democrats -- and that if it can, it will. We had so much momentum after 2008, so much hope and excitement, and now, as we march reluctantly toward the midterms, it feels like all of our efforts are unraveling. Republicans are poised to ride a wave election, conceivably as large as in 1994, and Exhibit A of their success may well be pronounced "Speaker John Boehner." How's that for a shiver down your spine?

    But there is actually plenty of reason to be optimistic about the future of the Democratic Party -- and the progressive ideals it represents. You just have to be able to look past November to see it.

    I know that's a tall order. In a 24-hour news cycle, in a minute-to-minute blogosphere, looking beyond the next election isn't so easy to do. It's not even that easy to look beyond the next news cycle. Go to any website, read any newspaper, and the sense you get is that nothing exists after November. Decisions made today, actions taken by both parties, are seen through a narrow lens. We ask, what will their impact be this fall, without any regard for what their impact will be in the years that follow.

    But if you step back, look beyond the current moment, and consider the broader context, you'll see that Democrats are actually in tremendously strong shape for the long term. What happens this November isn't inconsequential. But it's also likely to be a temporary bump on a road toward Democratic dominance.

    The future of the Democratic Party is far brighter than you might think, so bright, in fact, that I believe the party has an opportunity to create a lasting majority -- and hold the White House -- not just for an election cycle, but for an entire generation.

    I know how incredible that sounds. It seems difficult, if not impossible, to reconcile that idea with the reality that Republicans may be on the verge of taking back Congress. And yet, that's where we find ourselves: Republicans are about to win a ton of seats. And they are also about to spend a generation in the minority.

    The Republican Party has been making decisions these last few years that will haunt them long past November. Their adherence to "tea party values"--their full-tilt ideological purification--has left the party in a position where it can no longer moderate. That's okay during an off-year election in the middle of a sputtering recovery, but in presidential years--like 2012--the voting population expands. Young voters and minorities show up to the polls in much higher numbers. When that happens, Republicans will find themselves in an incredibly tough spot.

    They have, for example, doubled-down on their anti-immigrant, anti-Hispanic rhetoric. Not only has the party roundly endorsed the Arizona immigration law, it's also begun calling for the end of birthright citizenship through the repeal of the Fourteenth Amendment. Not the best formula for winning the Hispanic vote.

    Why should the Republicans care about the Hispanic vote? Because Hispanics are, by far, the fastest growing population in the country. By 2020, the Hispanic population is projected to grow another 40 percent while the white population grows just 5 percent. In 2008, President Obama won 67 percent of the Hispanic vote, which drove his victories in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida. If he can maintain that level of support among Hispanics in 2012, it will be extraordinarily difficult for the Republican nominee to find a path to 270 votes. And as the Hispanic population continues to grow, its influence in key states will only continue to increase. Given its importance, the Republican Party's willingness to take its anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy agenda to such a vitriolic level is surprising, and undoubtedly debilitating.

    Republicans also face redistricting challenges that could erase a number of seats from their 2010 victories. Republicans are expected to do quite well in 2010 in state legislative and governor's races across the country. But they are unlikely to come close to regaining the dominance they enjoyed at the state level in 2000, the last time the congressional map was drawn. And with 80 percent of the population growth over the last decade coming from minorities--almost entirely in urban areas--most of the new seats created will end up in Democratic hands.

    This will leave Republicans in a difficult position in 2012. With an expanded electorate, and in the wake of redistricting, they will have trouble holding onto the gains they make this year. And with the Obama reelection campaign positioned to raise well over a billion dollars--none of which will have to be spent in a competitive primary--the organizational advantages that Democrats will enjoy will be overwhelming.

    2010 will be a great year for Republicans. But 2012 is shaping up to be the opposite. And a look further down the road paints an even uglier picture for the GOP.

    Take the younger generation, for example. The Millennials. This is a group that gave Barack Obama two-thirds of its support in 2008, and has consistently awarded the president high marks throughout his first two years. I suppose that's not all that surprising given that they are, without question, the most socially liberal generation in American history.

    Why should that worry Republicans? Because every year between now and 2018, 4 million new Millennials will become eligible voters. That means that 16 million more will be able to vote in 2012 than in 2008, and 32 million more in 2016. Even if they turn out in characteristically low numbers, they will still add millions of new votes into the Democratic column. By 2018, when the entire Millennial generation can vote, they will make up 40 percent of the voting population and be 90 million strong. That's 14 million more Millennials than Baby Boomers, making the youngest generation the largest in U.S. history.

    How can the Republican Party possibly court a generation this progressive, and this substantial, without losing its tea party base? And how can they survive on the national stage if they don't?

    This isn't a formula for Republican dominance. It's a formula for Republican extinction.

    None of this is to say that this November doesn't matter, or that its results will be inconsequential. If the Republican Party takes over the House, they may defund health care, shut down the federal government, and usher in a period of gridlock without precedent.

    But November should be understood in context. This is the last election cycle in which this congressional map -- designed predominantly by Republicans -- will be used. And it will be the last year Republicans can depend on ideological purification without serious retribution at the polls.

    The country is changing dramatically, and in ways that are sure to benefit Democrats. That's why I'm so optimistic about our future. It's why you should be too. November might be an ass-kicking. But it's poised to be our last one for quite a long while.

    By: Dylan Loewe
  • rnch

    Posts: 11524

    Sep 08, 2010 1:51 PM GMT
    LMAO @ southbeach commenting on political spamming, what with the questionable, biased crappppppp he has posted here as of late!

    icon_lol.gif
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 08, 2010 2:25 PM GMT
    hmmm he ppsted three topics compared to SBs dozens, even hundreds.

    Whether or not personal opinions are in topic starters, someone needs to look up the definition of spam.

    -Doug
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    Sep 08, 2010 2:42 PM GMT
    Then you better report Metta8 while you're at it.

    Again, you said Realjock is an unimportant place and that nothing here matters.
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    Sep 08, 2010 2:53 PM GMT
    This article is full of flaws. One of the biggest mistakes it makes is not realizing that in every generation and every time period young people tend to be more liberal but as they get older they start having to pay taxes and begin to understand some of the realities vs fantasies that life has to offer and they turn more conservative. It happens all the time.

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    Sep 08, 2010 3:15 PM GMT
    Contact admin.
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    Sep 08, 2010 4:55 PM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    meninlove said hmmm he ppsted three topics compared to SBs dozens, even hundreds.
    -Doug


    Over a period of years.

    And, in case you didn't understand what I wrote above, I don't just post articles / columns in their entirety.

    And, I also don't just post articles / columns and not comment.

    What B787 is doing is just copying articles / columns from other sources (which is a violation of the original author's copyright as well).

    There's something called a "fair use" excerpt which allows for a small portion of a copyrighted work to be posted elsewhere. B787 is not following that generally accepted practice.

    I do.



    SB - Again, don't be droll. You are the queen of forum spamming. There are days when you post 5 - 10 new topics with maybe a sentence or two in your introduction.

    If you can't take it, don't dish it out.
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    Sep 08, 2010 6:37 PM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    Christian73 saidSB - Again, don't be droll. You are the queen of forum spamming. There are days when you post 5 - 10 new topics with maybe a sentence or two in your introduction.

    If you can't take it, don't dish it out.


    I guess what I am looking for is some clarification here.

    Is it OK to post the full content of something written elsewhere and not even include your own comments?

    Likewise, is it OK to just post a link to something written elsewhere and not even include your own comments?

    As for "there are days when you post 5 - 10 new topics with maybe a sentence or two in your introduction" that's simply not true at all.

    One day (about 2 weeks ago) I had ended up posting 4 topics, because they were interesting and happened to be current, in addition to comments on each of them - far more than just "a sentence or two."



    Well, I don't start topics that often and when I do I include my own view.

    And, I can't be bothered to look up your old posts, but I strongly suspect that you have, indeed, posted at least 4-5 new threads in a single day. And more than once.
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9217

    Sep 09, 2010 12:48 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    B787 saidI know what you're thinking. It feels like things can't get much worse for the Democrats -- and that if it can, it will. We had so much momentum after 2008, so much hope and excitement, and now, as we march reluctantly toward the midterms, it feels like all of our efforts are unraveling. Republicans are poised to ride a wave election, conceivably as large as in 1994, and Exhibit A of their success may well be pronounced "Speaker John Boehner." How's that for a shiver down your spine?

    But there is actually plenty of reason to be optimistic about the future of the Democratic Party -- and the progressive ideals it represents. You just have to be able to look past November to see it.

    I know that's a tall order. In a 24-hour news cycle, in a minute-to-minute blogosphere, looking beyond the next election isn't so easy to do. It's not even that easy to look beyond the next news cycle. Go to any website, read any newspaper, and the sense you get is that nothing exists after November. Decisions made today, actions taken by both parties, are seen through a narrow lens. We ask, what will their impact be this fall, without any regard for what their impact will be in the years that follow.

    But if you step back, look beyond the current moment, and consider the broader context, you'll see that Democrats are actually in tremendously strong shape for the long term. What happens this November isn't inconsequential. But it's also likely to be a temporary bump on a road toward Democratic dominance.

    The future of the Democratic Party is far brighter than you might think, so bright, in fact, that I believe the party has an opportunity to create a lasting majority -- and hold the White House -- not just for an election cycle, but for an entire generation.

    I know how incredible that sounds. It seems difficult, if not impossible, to reconcile that idea with the reality that Republicans may be on the verge of taking back Congress. And yet, that's where we find ourselves: Republicans are about to win a ton of seats. And they are also about to spend a generation in the minority.

    The Republican Party has been making decisions these last few years that will haunt them long past November. Their adherence to "tea party values"--their full-tilt ideological purification--has left the party in a position where it can no longer moderate. That's okay during an off-year election in the middle of a sputtering recovery, but in presidential years--like 2012--the voting population expands. Young voters and minorities show up to the polls in much higher numbers. When that happens, Republicans will find themselves in an incredibly tough spot.

    They have, for example, doubled-down on their anti-immigrant, anti-Hispanic rhetoric. Not only has the party roundly endorsed the Arizona immigration law, it's also begun calling for the end of birthright citizenship through the repeal of the Fourteenth Amendment. Not the best formula for winning the Hispanic vote.

    Why should the Republicans care about the Hispanic vote? Because Hispanics are, by far, the fastest growing population in the country. By 2020, the Hispanic population is projected to grow another 40 percent while the white population grows just 5 percent. In 2008, President Obama won 67 percent of the Hispanic vote, which drove his victories in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida. If he can maintain that level of support among Hispanics in 2012, it will be extraordinarily difficult for the Republican nominee to find a path to 270 votes. And as the Hispanic population continues to grow, its influence in key states will only continue to increase. Given its importance, the Republican Party's willingness to take its anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy agenda to such a vitriolic level is surprising, and undoubtedly debilitating.

    Republicans also face redistricting challenges that could erase a number of seats from their 2010 victories. Republicans are expected to do quite well in 2010 in state legislative and governor's races across the country. But they are unlikely to come close to regaining the dominance they enjoyed at the state level in 2000, the last time the congressional map was drawn. And with 80 percent of the population growth over the last decade coming from minorities--almost entirely in urban areas--most of the new seats created will end up in Democratic hands.

    This will leave Republicans in a difficult position in 2012. With an expanded electorate, and in the wake of redistricting, they will have trouble holding onto the gains they make this year. And with the Obama reelection campaign positioned to raise well over a billion dollars--none of which will have to be spent in a competitive primary--the organizational advantages that Democrats will enjoy will be overwhelming.

    2010 will be a great year for Republicans. But 2012 is shaping up to be the opposite. And a look further down the road paints an even uglier picture for the GOP.

    Take the younger generation, for example. The Millennials. This is a group that gave Barack Obama two-thirds of its support in 2008, and has consistently awarded the president high marks throughout his first two years. I suppose that's not all that surprising given that they are, without question, the most socially liberal generation in American history.

    Why should that worry Republicans? Because every year between now and 2018, 4 million new Millennials will become eligible voters. That means that 16 million more will be able to vote in 2012 than in 2008, and 32 million more in 2016. Even if they turn out in characteristically low numbers, they will still add millions of new votes into the Democratic column. By 2018, when the entire Millennial generation can vote, they will make up 40 percent of the voting population and be 90 million strong. That's 14 million more Millennials than Baby Boomers, making the youngest generation the largest in U.S. history.

    How can the Republican Party possibly court a generation this progressive, and this substantial, without losing its tea party base? And how can they survive on the national stage if they don't?

    This isn't a formula for Republican dominance. It's a formula for Republican extinction.

    None of this is to say that this November doesn't matter, or that its results will be inconsequential. If the Republican Party takes over the House, they may defund health care, shut down the federal government, and usher in a period of gridlock without precedent.

    But November should be understood in context. This is the last election cycle in which this congressional map -- designed predominantly by Republicans -- will be used. And it will be the last year Republicans can depend on ideological purification without serious retribution at the polls.

    The country is changing dramatically, and in ways that are sure to benefit Democrats. That's why I'm so optimistic about our future. It's why you should be too. November might be an ass-kicking. But it's poised to be our last one for quite a long while.

    By: Dylan Loewe



    Is this not spam?

    You are once again posting an entire article / column without any comment of your own?





    Southbeach1500, you just posted the entire article / column without any comment of your own.

    AGAIN, you don't know what spamming is.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 09, 2010 12:51 AM GMT
    wahmbulance.jpg?1252544974
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9217

    Sep 09, 2010 12:58 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    rnch saidLMAO @ southbeach commenting on political spamming, what with the questionable, biased crappppppp he has posted here as of late!

    icon_lol.gif


    There's a difference.

    When I post something that is in the news, I do not just post the entire article / column, rather, I post a few excerpts and offer up my opinion.

    This topic has neither of those.

    B787 is just finding articles / columns and posting them in their entirety.

    The fact that they are anti-Republican / pro-Democrat apparently doesn't seem to bother most of the RJ membership.






    A) You rarely post anything that is in the news. Right wing propaganda opinion piece blogs are not considered news. And, you invariably post titles to your threads, that are obvious LIES.

    B) The thread that B787 posted was obviously representative of his optimism, and it was offered up for RJ members' consideration, and a tacit invitation for all members to post whether or not they agree with it, and why. That's the proper way to start an intelligent discussion. You could learn a lot from his example.

    C) But, instead of addressing the thread's OP, and explaining why you agree or disagree with its content, you have attacked the RJ member who posted it.

    D) And, you need to quit your damn whining.
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9217

    Sep 09, 2010 1:03 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    Christian73 said
    Well, I don't start topics that often and when I do I include my own view.

    And, I can't be bothered to look up your old posts, but I strongly suspect that you have, indeed, posted at least 4-5 new threads in a single day. And more than once.

    I wasn't saying that you do.

    And no, maybe once in a while 2 a day, but very rarely even that.





    I wouldn't care if you posted 100 threads a day, if any of them were the truth. But, each and every time, we have to do about TWO MINUTES of Googling to prove that you are a LIAR who is SPAMMING the forum with LIES.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 09, 2010 4:17 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    rnch saidLMAO @ southbeach commenting on political spamming, what with the questionable, biased crappppppp he has posted here as of late!

    icon_lol.gif


    There's a difference.

    When I post something that is in the news, I do not just post the entire article / column, rather, I post a few excerpts and offer up my opinion.

    This topic has neither of those.

    B787 is just finding articles / columns and posting them in their entirety.

    The fact that they are anti-Republican / pro-Democrat apparently doesn't seem to bother most of the RJ membership.




    And yet you still claim to be an "independent", SB?!

    LMFAO!

    You are as hardcore rabid REPUBLICAN as it gets.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 09, 2010 4:24 AM GMT
    B787 saidI know what you're thinking. It feels like things can't get much worse for the Democrats -- and that if it can, it will. We had so much momentum after 2008, so much hope and excitement, and now, as we march reluctantly toward the midterms, it feels like all of our efforts are unraveling. Republicans are poised to ride a wave election, conceivably as large as in 1994, and Exhibit A of their success may well be pronounced "Speaker John Boehner." How's that for a shiver down your spine?

    But there is actually plenty of reason to be optimistic about the future of the Democratic Party -- and the progressive ideals it represents. You just have to be able to look past November to see it.

    I know that's a tall order. In a 24-hour news cycle, in a minute-to-minute blogosphere, looking beyond the next election isn't so easy to do. It's not even that easy to look beyond the next news cycle. Go to any website, read any newspaper, and the sense you get is that nothing exists after November. Decisions made today, actions taken by both parties, are seen through a narrow lens. We ask, what will their impact be this fall, without any regard for what their impact will be in the years that follow.

    But if you step back, look beyond the current moment, and consider the broader context, you'll see that Democrats are actually in tremendously strong shape for the long term. What happens this November isn't inconsequential. But it's also likely to be a temporary bump on a road toward Democratic dominance.

    The future of the Democratic Party is far brighter than you might think, so bright, in fact, that I believe the party has an opportunity to create a lasting majority -- and hold the White House -- not just for an election cycle, but for an entire generation.

    I know how incredible that sounds. It seems difficult, if not impossible, to reconcile that idea with the reality that Republicans may be on the verge of taking back Congress. And yet, that's where we find ourselves: Republicans are about to win a ton of seats. And they are also about to spend a generation in the minority.

    The Republican Party has been making decisions these last few years that will haunt them long past November. Their adherence to "tea party values"--their full-tilt ideological purification--has left the party in a position where it can no longer moderate. That's okay during an off-year election in the middle of a sputtering recovery, but in presidential years--like 2012--the voting population expands. Young voters and minorities show up to the polls in much higher numbers. When that happens, Republicans will find themselves in an incredibly tough spot.

    They have, for example, doubled-down on their anti-immigrant, anti-Hispanic rhetoric. Not only has the party roundly endorsed the Arizona immigration law, it's also begun calling for the end of birthright citizenship through the repeal of the Fourteenth Amendment. Not the best formula for winning the Hispanic vote.

    Why should the Republicans care about the Hispanic vote? Because Hispanics are, by far, the fastest growing population in the country. By 2020, the Hispanic population is projected to grow another 40 percent while the white population grows just 5 percent. In 2008, President Obama won 67 percent of the Hispanic vote, which drove his victories in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida. If he can maintain that level of support among Hispanics in 2012, it will be extraordinarily difficult for the Republican nominee to find a path to 270 votes. And as the Hispanic population continues to grow, its influence in key states will only continue to increase. Given its importance, the Republican Party's willingness to take its anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy agenda to such a vitriolic level is surprising, and undoubtedly debilitating.

    Republicans also face redistricting challenges that could erase a number of seats from their 2010 victories. Republicans are expected to do quite well in 2010 in state legislative and governor's races across the country. But they are unlikely to come close to regaining the dominance they enjoyed at the state level in 2000, the last time the congressional map was drawn. And with 80 percent of the population growth over the last decade coming from minorities--almost entirely in urban areas--most of the new seats created will end up in Democratic hands.

    This will leave Republicans in a difficult position in 2012. With an expanded electorate, and in the wake of redistricting, they will have trouble holding onto the gains they make this year. And with the Obama reelection campaign positioned to raise well over a billion dollars--none of which will have to be spent in a competitive primary--the organizational advantages that Democrats will enjoy will be overwhelming.

    2010 will be a great year for Republicans. But 2012 is shaping up to be the opposite. And a look further down the road paints an even uglier picture for the GOP.

    Take the younger generation, for example. The Millennials. This is a group that gave Barack Obama two-thirds of its support in 2008, and has consistently awarded the president high marks throughout his first two years. I suppose that's not all that surprising given that they are, without question, the most socially liberal generation in American history.

    Why should that worry Republicans? Because every year between now and 2018, 4 million new Millennials will become eligible voters. That means that 16 million more will be able to vote in 2012 than in 2008, and 32 million more in 2016. Even if they turn out in characteristically low numbers, they will still add millions of new votes into the Democratic column. By 2018, when the entire Millennial generation can vote, they will make up 40 percent of the voting population and be 90 million strong. That's 14 million more Millennials than Baby Boomers, making the youngest generation the largest in U.S. history.

    How can the Republican Party possibly court a generation this progressive, and this substantial, without losing its tea party base? And how can they survive on the national stage if they don't?

    This isn't a formula for Republican dominance. It's a formula for Republican extinction.

    None of this is to say that this November doesn't matter, or that its results will be inconsequential. If the Republican Party takes over the House, they may defund health care, shut down the federal government, and usher in a period of gridlock without precedent.

    But November should be understood in context. This is the last election cycle in which this congressional map -- designed predominantly by Republicans -- will be used. And it will be the last year Republicans can depend on ideological purification without serious retribution at the polls.

    The country is changing dramatically, and in ways that are sure to benefit Democrats. That's why I'm so optimistic about our future. It's why you should be too. November might be an ass-kicking. But it's poised to be our last one for quite a long while.

    By: Dylan Loewe




    Not only will "Speaker John Boehner" send a shiver down spines - the rash of time-wasting partisan-motivated taypayer-funded investigations of President Obama that the Repub House will open and try to use for political gain will drive voters away from the Repubs too.

  • Webster666

    Posts: 9217

    Sep 09, 2010 4:31 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    Webster666 said
    southbeach1500 said
    B787 saidI know what you're thinking. It feels like things can't get much worse for the Democrats -- and that if it can, it will. We had so much momentum after 2008, so much hope and excitement, and now, as we march reluctantly toward the midterms, it feels like all of our efforts are unraveling. Republicans are poised to ride a wave election, conceivably as large as in 1994, and Exhibit A of their success may well be pronounced "Speaker John Boehner." How's that for a shiver down your spine?

    But there is actually plenty of reason to be optimistic about the future of the Democratic Party -- and the progressive ideals it represents. You just have to be able to look past November to see it.

    I know that's a tall order. In a 24-hour news cycle, in a minute-to-minute blogosphere, looking beyond the next election isn't so easy to do. It's not even that easy to look beyond the next news cycle. Go to any website, read any newspaper, and the sense you get is that nothing exists after November. Decisions made today, actions taken by both parties, are seen through a narrow lens. We ask, what will their impact be this fall, without any regard for what their impact will be in the years that follow.

    But if you step back, look beyond the current moment, and consider the broader context, you'll see that Democrats are actually in tremendously strong shape for the long term. What happens this November isn't inconsequential. But it's also likely to be a temporary bump on a road toward Democratic dominance.

    The future of the Democratic Party is far brighter than you might think, so bright, in fact, that I believe the party has an opportunity to create a lasting majority -- and hold the White House -- not just for an election cycle, but for an entire generation.

    I know how incredible that sounds. It seems difficult, if not impossible, to reconcile that idea with the reality that Republicans may be on the verge of taking back Congress. And yet, that's where we find ourselves: Republicans are about to win a ton of seats. And they are also about to spend a generation in the minority.

    The Republican Party has been making decisions these last few years that will haunt them long past November. Their adherence to "tea party values"--their full-tilt ideological purification--has left the party in a position where it can no longer moderate. That's okay during an off-year election in the middle of a sputtering recovery, but in presidential years--like 2012--the voting population expands. Young voters and minorities show up to the polls in much higher numbers. When that happens, Republicans will find themselves in an incredibly tough spot.

    They have, for example, doubled-down on their anti-immigrant, anti-Hispanic rhetoric. Not only has the party roundly endorsed the Arizona immigration law, it's also begun calling for the end of birthright citizenship through the repeal of the Fourteenth Amendment. Not the best formula for winning the Hispanic vote.

    Why should the Republicans care about the Hispanic vote? Because Hispanics are, by far, the fastest growing population in the country. By 2020, the Hispanic population is projected to grow another 40 percent while the white population grows just 5 percent. In 2008, President Obama won 67 percent of the Hispanic vote, which drove his victories in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, and Florida. If he can maintain that level of support among Hispanics in 2012, it will be extraordinarily difficult for the Republican nominee to find a path to 270 votes. And as the Hispanic population continues to grow, its influence in key states will only continue to increase. Given its importance, the Republican Party's willingness to take its anti-immigrant rhetoric and policy agenda to such a vitriolic level is surprising, and undoubtedly debilitating.

    Republicans also face redistricting challenges that could erase a number of seats from their 2010 victories. Republicans are expected to do quite well in 2010 in state legislative and governor's races across the country. But they are unlikely to come close to regaining the dominance they enjoyed at the state level in 2000, the last time the congressional map was drawn. And with 80 percent of the population growth over the last decade coming from minorities--almost entirely in urban areas--most of the new seats created will end up in Democratic hands.

    This will leave Republicans in a difficult position in 2012. With an expanded electorate, and in the wake of redistricting, they will have trouble holding onto the gains they make this year. And with the Obama reelection campaign positioned to raise well over a billion dollars--none of which will have to be spent in a competitive primary--the organizational advantages that Democrats will enjoy will be overwhelming.

    2010 will be a great year for Republicans. But 2012 is shaping up to be the opposite. And a look further down the road paints an even uglier picture for the GOP.

    Take the younger generation, for example. The Millennials. This is a group that gave Barack Obama two-thirds of its support in 2008, and has consistently awarded the president high marks throughout his first two years. I suppose that's not all that surprising given that they are, without question, the most socially liberal generation in American history.

    Why should that worry Republicans? Because every year between now and 2018, 4 million new Millennials will become eligible voters. That means that 16 million more will be able to vote in 2012 than in 2008, and 32 million more in 2016. Even if they turn out in characteristically low numbers, they will still add millions of new votes into the Democratic column. By 2018, when the entire Millennial generation can vote, they will make up 40 percent of the voting population and be 90 million strong. That's 14 million more Millennials than Baby Boomers, making the youngest generation the largest in U.S. history.

    How can the Republican Party possibly court a generation this progressive, and this substantial, without losing its tea party base? And how can they survive on the national stage if they don't?

    This isn't a formula for Republican dominance. It's a formula for Republican extinction.

    None of this is to say that this November doesn't matter, or that its results will be inconsequential. If the Republican Party takes over the House, they may defund health care, shut down the federal government, and usher in a period of gridlock without precedent.

    But November should be understood in context. This is the last election cycle in which this congressional map -- designed predominantly by Republicans -- will be used. And it will be the last year Republicans can depend on ideological purification without serious retribution at the polls.

    The country is changing dramatically, and in ways that are sure to benefit Democrats. That's why I'm so optimistic about our future. It's why you should be too. November might be an ass-kicking. But it's poised to be our last one for quite a long while.

    By: Dylan Loewe



    Is this not spam?

    You are once again posting an entire article / column without any comment of your own?





    Southbeach1500, you just posted the entire article / column without any comment of your own.

    AGAIN, you don't know what spamming is.


    You did it too!

    My reason was to illustrate my point in case the OP were to remove parts (or most)
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9217

    Sep 09, 2010 4:35 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    Christian73 said
    Well, I don't start topics that often and when I do I include my own view.

    And, I can't be bothered to look up your old posts, but I strongly suspect that you have, indeed, posted at least 4-5 new threads in a single day. And more than once.

    I wasn't saying that you do.

    And no, maybe once in a while 2 a day, but very rarely even that.






    Liar, liar, pantaloons on fire...

    oiayoo.jpg
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 12, 2010 11:15 AM GMT
    southbeach1500 said
    There's a difference.

    When I post something that is in the news, I do not just post the entire article / column, rather, I post a few excerpts and offer up my opinion.

    This topic has neither of those.

    B787 is just finding articles / columns and posting them in their entirety.



    On a number of occasions, I've posted links to article without any further comment.

    I do think it's probably a bad idea to copy an entire article and post it here, though I can understand the inclination to do so (that people are more likely to read the article if it's right there than to click on the link).

    But, really, if you agree with the contents of the article that you're posting, why do you need to also post your own comments on it? Posting the article (or, as I prefer to do, the link) is just a way to bring it to the attention of people who might otherwise miss it. I don't see what's wrong with that.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 12, 2010 11:38 AM GMT
    About the article posting: liberals don't mind if liberals do it and the article is from a pro-left source, but they immediately mind if a Republican does it.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 12, 2010 12:12 PM GMT
    Fearthefall saidAbout the article posting: liberals don't mind if liberals do it and the article is from a pro-left source, but they immediately mind if a Republican does it.


    No. We mind if SillyBitch does it. Why? Because it is all he does and all he has ever done. (He also has the kind of personality which makes him as welcome as venereal disease) .

  • HndsmKansan

    Posts: 16311

    Sep 12, 2010 12:49 PM GMT
    Fearthefall saidAbout the article posting: liberals don't mind if liberals do it and the article is from a pro-left source, but they immediately mind if a Republican does it.


    Interesting observation..... and here I thought it was "right wingers" don't mind if "right wingers" do it if the article is from a "pro right" source, but they immediately mind of a democratic member (or progressive) does it.

    LOL
    jk

    The reality is, I think many here will comment based on the article given, unless the personality who presents it has "so poisoned the well" that
    the person will be attacked, not the point of discussion. At that point,
    I usually just pass on most of the discussion, unless I want a chuckle or two.
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9217

    Sep 12, 2010 9:34 PM GMT
    Lostboy said
    Fearthefall saidAbout the article posting: liberals don't mind if liberals do it and the article is from a pro-left source, but they immediately mind if a Republican does it.


    No. We mind if SillyBitch does it. Why? Because it is all he does and all he has ever done. (He also has the kind of personality which makes him as welcome as venereal disease) .






    LOL.
    I heart "Lostboy."
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 13, 2010 3:02 AM GMT
    Fearthefall saidAbout the article posting: liberals don't mind if liberals do it and the article is from a pro-left source, but they immediately mind if a Republican does it.


    I'm a leftie and I don't mind when anybody does it. Which doesn't mean I might not comment on the contents of the article, just as I expect that if I post an article (or a link to one), other people may comment on it and not necessarily to say they agree with it.

    I do mind when people generalize about other people. I can't say I never do it myself but I try not to do it. If you see me doing it, call me on it.