Support for Obama Waning, even among liberal backers

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    Jul 28, 2011 3:01 AM GMT
    http://www.bostonherald.com/news/us_politics/view.bg?articleid=1354366

    Even here in bluest Massachusetts, some of President Obama’s stalwarts say their support for the liberal darling is slipping — as a new poll suggests the numbers are plummeting in the president’s base and a call has emerged from the left for a primary challenge. [...]

    The percentage of liberal Democrats strongly supporting Obama’s job record has fallen 22 points, from 53 percent last year to 31 percent now. And the number of blacks believing Obama has helped the economy has tumbled from 77 percent in October to just more than 50 percent, the Post reported.

    One left-leaning senator, independent Bernie Sanders of Vermont, has even suggested it would be a “good idea” for Obama to face a primary challenger to pull him back to his liberal roots.

    There was some good poll news for Obama: 65 percent of Americans disapprove of the way the GOP is handling job creation, compared to 52 percent for Obama.


    Then there's this:

    The president’s national poll numbers aren’t good, but they’re worse in battleground states.

    http://nationaljournal.com/columns/against-the-grain/obama-s-battleground-state-blues-20110726

    President Obama’s job approval rating in the latest national polls has been in the danger zone, ranging from 42 percent (Gallup) to 47 percent (ABC News/Washington Post), with every survey showing him with higher unfavorables than favorables. Needless to say, it’s not a good place for a president to be, especially since his numbers have worsened over the past two months.

    The race for president isn’t a national contest. It’s a state-by-state battle to cobble an electoral vote majority. So while the national polls are useful in gauging the president’s popularity, the more instructive numbers are those from the battlegrounds.

    Those polls are even more ominous for the president: In every reputable battleground state poll conducted over the past month, Obama’s support is weak. In most of them, he trails Republican front-runner Mitt Romney. For all the talk of a closely fought 2012 election, if Obama can’t turn around his fortunes in states such as Michigan and New Hampshire, next year’s presidential election could end up being a GOP landslide.

    Take Ohio, a perennial battleground in which Obama has campaigned more than in any other state (outside of the D.C. metropolitan region). Fifty percent of Ohio voters now disapprove of his job performance, compared with 46 percent who approve, according to a Quinnipiac poll conducted from July 12-18.

    Among Buckeye State independents, only 40 percent believe that Obama should be reelected, and 42 percent approve of his job performance. Against Romney, Obama leads 45 percent to 41 percent—well below the 50 percent comfort zone for an incumbent.
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    Jul 28, 2011 3:23 AM GMT
    This is not good for anyone.

    http://www.cnbc.com/id/43881205

    US Is at the Start of 500-Day Retail Recession: Analyst

    The latest consumer confidence report aside, Americans are still apprehensive, especially about their jobs, and that fear is likely to weigh on consumer spending in the months ahead, according to one retail industry consultant.

    Burt Flickinger, managing director of retail consultantcy Strategic Resource Group, said the US has just entered a 500-day retail recession, and before it’s over, the US will see weaker retail sales, more store closures and even additional retailers joining Borders in bankruptcy.

    Helping to drive the trend is a weak labor market, Flickinger said.

    Job growth has remained elusive, pushing the unemployment rate to 9.2 percent. Flickinger also expects more people will be joining the ranks of the unemployed as state and local governments make further cuts to their budgets.

    The latest consumer confidence report from the Conference Board showed consumer attitudes perked up from the prior month, but it also captured growing fears about jobs. Those fears are likely to curtail spending, especially when you consider the large numbers of households that are living paycheck to paycheck.

    Flickinger also cited the long-term unemployed who will stop receiving extended unemployment benefits this year as another contributing factor. Once the checks stop arriving, these people will have even less money than they do now.

    A recent study by Moody's Analytics estimated that close to $2 of every $10 that went into American's wallets last year were payments like jobless benefits, food stamps, Social Security and disability. As the jobless benefits expire, about $37 billion will be drained from the nation's pocketbooks, according to Moody's.
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    Jul 28, 2011 3:53 AM GMT
    Polls this far out are really meaningless. I know we all cite them but until there's a defined challenger we won't really know what's happening.

    The other issue is that ongoing debt ceiling "crisis", which has brought the undertow of the Republican Party's implosion to the surface. As some pundits have noted open warfare in the GOP has been unheard of since Reagan and critical to their electoral success. If the Tea Party insurgency continues, it's anybody's guess how 2012 plays out.
  • Webster666

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    Jul 28, 2011 5:17 AM GMT
    All you have to do is to look at the Republican alternatives, and President Obama can look forward to a landslide victory. There certainly won't be any real competition to take the Democratic nomination away from him.
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    Jul 28, 2011 3:51 PM GMT
    Webster666 saidAll you have to do is to look at the Republican alternatives, and President Obama can look forward to a landslide victory. There certainly won't be any real competition to take the Democratic nomination away from him.


    Way too early in the game to have any kind of confidence in that opinion.
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    Jul 28, 2011 4:00 PM GMT
    Webster666 saidAll you have to do is to look at the Republican alternatives, and President Obama can look forward to a landslide victory. There certainly won't be any real competition to take the Democratic nomination away from him.

    He probably has the nomination locked up, but I can assure you your confidence about the certainty of his reelection is not shared by those who understand trends and see the numbers.