Apr 02, 2012 5:42 PM GMT
After months of relentless attacks on women's rights at the state and federal level by Republicans, and the awful misogyny of Rush Limbaugh (leader of the RNC), women are flying the Republican coup for Obama. Given the similar situation with independents and Latinos, and his complete inability to excite the base, it's increasingly clear that Romney will not be able to beat Obama.
Kyle Leighton & Pema LevyPolling...organizations have shown that there has been a growing gender gap on the presidential level, with President Obama doing better with women against his likely rival in former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney than the president did against Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) at the same point in 2008. But other recent numbers show the presidential race isn’t the only one being affected.
It’s one point both Democrats and Republicans agree on: Social issues at the top of the ticket are poisoning the well and creating a gender gap across the board — mostly to the benefit of Democrats.
The numbers are fairly stark. In two polls of the Senate races in Ohio and Florida released Thursday, Quinnipiac University identified a major gender gap. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-OH) has opened up a commanding 17-point lead among women over Ohio state Treasurer Josh Mandel (R) while leading the overall race by 10 points. Sen. Bill Nelson’s (D-FL) overall 8-point advantage over Rep. Connie Mack (R-FL) in Quinnipiac’s Florida numbers was “fueled by female voters,” as women went for Nelson by 14 points. In both races, the candidates were in a dead heat with male voters.
One factor at play is “the dynamic of the Republican presidential race,” echoed Justin Barasky, communications director for Brown’s campaign. “You’ve got these candidates who are so out there on women’s issues, so, so out of the mainstream, that I think Republicans all over the place are being hurt.”
“There’s more going on than Blunt Amendment and Limbaugh — those things certainly are damaging, [Republicans] were off in dangerous territory,” Margie Omero, a Democratic pollster and founder of Momentum Analysis told TPM. “But there’s a reflection of a strong Democratic movement right now. You have a GOP that’s losing its way with women voters — all they can say is that they want to take away your birth control and call your daughter a slut.” But there wouldn’t be a situation where Democrats are doing well and there wasn’t a gender gap, Oremo said, referring to the party’s traditional edge with women.
For Republican candidates, the issue is compounded. Not only do they fall on the wrong side of the polling on the contraception debate, but every day the talk about it is a day they don’t talk about jobs. And Democrats are reveling in reminding voters of that fact.