Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 46%, Democrats 36%

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    Apr 18, 2012 4:15 AM GMT
    Not really surprising when Republicans are seen as better stewards on the economy. If this election is one on the economy, Obama and Democrats lose. This is why you see all these distractions like that war on women, or blind condemnation of the killing of Trayvon Martin before any significant details actually emerged.

    http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot

    Republicans, as they have for nearly three years now, continue to lead Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot, this time for the week ending Sunday, April 15.

    A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 46% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican in their district’s congressional race if the election were held today, while 36% would choose the Democrat instead. This is the largest gap between the two parties since the beginning of 2011. It also doubles the gap found a week ago when the Republican led by five points, 45% to 40%.

    The national telephone survey of 3,500 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports from April 9-15, 2012. The margin of sampling error for the survey is 2 percentage point with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
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    Apr 18, 2012 1:17 PM GMT
    Can you say Inouye?
    yeah, rasmussen! LMAO

    Pffft!icon_rolleyes.gificon_rolleyes.gificon_rolleyes.gif
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    Apr 18, 2012 1:26 PM GMT
    JPtheBITCH saidRasmussen
    hahahahahahahahahahahahaha
    like anyone believes them except the really really stupid

    You often criticize me for making condescending comments. You're apparently not immune from doing the same. Speaking of Rasmussen, if you look at the Real Clear Politics mix of Romney-Obama match-ups, Rasmussen is the only one to use likely voters as a criteria for their sample. The others use registered voters.

    Gallup also believes in using likely voters, but they reported registered voters which was used in the RCP mix. Despite that, Gallup recognizes the value of using likely voters.
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/110272/registered-voters-vs-likely-voters.aspx

    Now maybe you might provide a reasoned discussion why anyone believing the Rasmussen poll of likely voters is really stupid.
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    Apr 18, 2012 1:39 PM GMT
    socalfitness said
    Now maybe you might provide a reasoned discussion why anyone believing the Rasmussen poll of likely voters is really stupid.
    Ask Todd!
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    Apr 18, 2012 11:00 PM GMT
    JPtheBITCH said
    socalfitness said
    JPtheBITCH saidRasmussen
    hahahahahahahahahahahahaha
    like anyone believes them except the really really stupid

    You often criticize me for making condescending comments. You're apparently not immune from doing the same. Speaking of Rasmussen, if you look at the Real Clear Politics mix of Romney-Obama match-ups, Rasmussen is the only one to use likely voters as a criteria for their sample. The others use registered voters.

    Gallup also believes in using likely voters, but they reported registered voters which was used in the RCP mix. Despite that, Gallup recognizes the value of using likely voters.
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/110272/registered-voters-vs-likely-voters.aspx

    Now maybe you might provide a reasoned discussion why anyone believing the Rasmussen poll of likely voters is really stupid.

    Because in every poll---literally every poll that Rasmussen does more than one month preceding an election---the GOP scores consistently between 4 and 7 points higher than in every--and I mean every--other poll. The Rasmussen people know that their credibility is somewhat poor, so they tighten things up about four weeks before so they can have some credible-looking polls at the end to wave around and fend off the accusations that their sampling is a joke.

    But the election is very far away, so they're up to their usual tricks. All political consultants are aware of this, both on the right and left, and discount Rasmussen's results accordingly. So why bother to do it, if everyone in the business knows it's fraudulent? Because the general public doesn't know the 'inside baseball', and by misreporting the true poll numbers, Rasmussen is hoping to influence the outcome.

    Which is why the pros don't take them seriously. Case in point: Harry Reid v. Sharron Angle---Rasmussen had her leading the whole way, with margins of 2 to 5 points. The internal polls taken by BOTH Reid's and Angle's people showed that she was NEVER closer than 5 points behind at any time.

    This is why no one takes them seriously, except people who use it as a kind of 'push poll'. Some do it on purpose, others unwittingly. But to demand that we respect its cooked results is ridiculous.

    The Rasmussen polls I see generally use likely voters, probably the reason for the discrepancy.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/05/likely-voter-gap-favors-g-o-p-by-6-points-gallups-model-sees-it-bigger/
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    Apr 18, 2012 11:12 PM GMT
    socalfitness said
    JPtheBITCH said
    socalfitness said
    JPtheBITCH saidRasmussen
    hahahahahahahahahahahahaha
    like anyone believes them except the really really stupid

    You often criticize me for making condescending comments. You're apparently not immune from doing the same. Speaking of Rasmussen, if you look at the Real Clear Politics mix of Romney-Obama match-ups, Rasmussen is the only one to use likely voters as a criteria for their sample. The others use registered voters.

    Gallup also believes in using likely voters, but they reported registered voters which was used in the RCP mix. Despite that, Gallup recognizes the value of using likely voters.
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/110272/registered-voters-vs-likely-voters.aspx

    Now maybe you might provide a reasoned discussion why anyone believing the Rasmussen poll of likely voters is really stupid.

    Because in every poll---literally every poll that Rasmussen does more than one month preceding an election---the GOP scores consistently between 4 and 7 points higher than in every--and I mean every--other poll. The Rasmussen people know that their credibility is somewhat poor, so they tighten things up about four weeks before so they can have some credible-looking polls at the end to wave around and fend off the accusations that their sampling is a joke.

    But the election is very far away, so they're up to their usual tricks. All political consultants are aware of this, both on the right and left, and discount Rasmussen's results accordingly. So why bother to do it, if everyone in the business knows it's fraudulent? Because the general public doesn't know the 'inside baseball', and by misreporting the true poll numbers, Rasmussen is hoping to influence the outcome.

    Which is why the pros don't take them seriously. Case in point: Harry Reid v. Sharron Angle---Rasmussen had her leading the whole way, with margins of 2 to 5 points. The internal polls taken by BOTH Reid's and Angle's people showed that she was NEVER closer than 5 points behind at any time.

    This is why no one takes them seriously, except people who use it as a kind of 'push poll'. Some do it on purpose, others unwittingly. But to demand that we respect its cooked results is ridiculous.

    The Rasmussen polls I see generally use likely voters, probably the reason for the discrepancy.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/10/05/likely-voter-gap-favors-g-o-p-by-6-points-gallups-model-sees-it-bigger/


    Meh I think JPtheBITCH is more upset that no one takes him seriously.