April 20 Quinnipiac poll of independent registered voters on Obama, etc.

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    Apr 20, 2012 10:58 PM GMT
    Reported by Jeffrey Anderson

    Yesterday, Jay Cost discussed President Obama’s problem with independents, noting that Obama started to lose independents by the truckload when the debate over Obamacare heated up and “has never won [them] back.” Today, a new Quinnipiac poll further highlights the extent of the trouble that Obama faces in this regard.

    The Quinnipiac poll surveyed an exceptionally large number of respondents, and therefore its sampling of independents is quite large — it surveyed 946 independents, all of them reported to be registered voters. So what does this survey tell us about independents’ reflections on the first 3-1/2 years (or so) of “hope and change”? Let’s take a look.

    Do independents think they are “better off or worse off financially” than they were four years ago? By a margin of 14 percentage points (46 to 32 percent), they think they are “worse off,” rather than “better off.”

    Are independents “satisfied” with “the way things are going in the nation today”? By a margin of 54 points (77 to 23 percent), they are at least somewhat “dissatisfied,” rather than at least somewhat “satisfied.” Even worse for Obama, 45 percent are “very dissatisfied,” while only 2 percent are “very satisfied.”

    According to the National Bureau of Economic Research (the recognized authority on such matters), we are now almost three years removed from the end of the recession that Obama inherited. So, what do independents think of the Obama “recovery”? By a margin of 41 points (69 to 28 percent), they think the country is still “in a recession now.”

    “Who do [independents] trust to do a better job of handling the economy, President Obama or the Republicans in Congress?” By a margin of 13 points (48 to 35 percent), they trust the GOP members of Congress.

    What do independents think of Obamacare, the defining legislation of Obama’s term? By a margin of 24 points (57 to 33 percent), they think Congress should “repeal it.”

    To recap, by a margin of 14 points, independents think they are worse off financially, rather than better off financially, than they were four years ago. By a margin of 54 points, they think the country is headed in the wrong, rather than the right, direction — and those who are “very dissatisfied” with the country’s direction outnumber those who are “very satisfied” with its direction by better than 20 to 1. By a margin of 41 points, they think we are still in the midst of (what they regard as) a 4-year recession, rather than in the midst of a (multi-year) recovery. By a margin of 13 points, they trust congressional Republicans over Obama on the economy. And by a margin of 24 points, they want Obama’s signature legislation to be repealed.

    To say these are poor numbers for an incumbent would be an obvious understatement.

    http://www.weeklystandard.com/blogs/obama-s-independents-problem_640488.html
  • jock_1

    Posts: 1491

    Apr 20, 2012 11:05 PM GMT
    If this election is about the economy, which it should be, Obama will lose. But the democrats will try to divert the attention away from that because its not a winning issue for them....not much is these days
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    Apr 21, 2012 2:33 PM GMT
    jock_1 saidIf this election is about the economy, which it should be, Obama will lose. But the democrats will try to divert the attention away from that because its not a winning issue for them....not much is these days

    Diversion and staying negative is all they can do because they have little positive to say about their own record.
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    Apr 21, 2012 2:47 PM GMT
    jock_1 saidIf this election is about the economy, which it should be, Obama will lose. But the democrats will try to divert the attention away from that because its not a winning issue for them....not much is these days
    Oh really? Did ya see this?

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2316783
    Ya might want to change that tune!
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    Apr 21, 2012 5:49 PM GMT
    jock_1 saidIf this election is about the economy, which it should be, Obama will lose. But the democrats will try to divert the attention away from that because its not a winning issue for them....not much is these days


    Yeah - that's absolutely the case. While I wouldn't be so nearly optimistic, but some are predicting that Romney will carry a significant majority of states though neither the betting markets nor polling suggests this as yet. Obama however is losing the independents.