Here's Why Google and Facebook Might Completely Disappear in the Next 5 Years

  • metta

    Posts: 42879

    Jun 08, 2012 6:34 PM GMT
    Here's Why Google and Facebook Might Completely Disappear in the Next 5 Years


    http://www.forbes.com/sites/ericjackson/2012/04/30/heres-why-google-and-facebook-might-completely-disappear-in-the-next-5-years/
  • metta

    Posts: 42879

    Jun 08, 2012 6:41 PM GMT
    Google, I don't think this is true. They are working on some amazing technologies that could make them much bigger. But I could be wrong.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 08, 2012 6:46 PM GMT
    Saying that mobile will kill google seems really myopic.... especially with their presense in the mobile marketplace.


    "It’s a lot easier to start asking Siri for information instead of typing search terms into a box compared to thousands of enterprises ceasing to upgrade to the next version of Windows. Google’s 76% market share. Facebook’s 900 million monthly users. They just aren’t as sticky as they seem."

    What does the author think happens when Siri "searches the internet for _______...."

    I do have to giggle that they list facebook as part of social (2.0) and they list Instagram as Mobile (3.0).... Hmmm I wonder who owns Instagram....

    ...owait.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 08, 2012 6:51 PM GMT
    ^^^ u should read pg 2 of the article. js
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 08, 2012 11:32 PM GMT
    I agree to a certain extent, but wrt the consumer space. Definitely, Facebook's issues wrt the mobile space look tough to overcome. They're done in 5-8 years. Google stands a chance in the enterprise space -- if they can leverage their talents in the cloud-computing space. Enterprises are making the slow, inexorable move to cloud b/c it can save them money.

    RIM only survived for as long as it did because of its hold on enterprise customers. As soon as Apple turned its eye there, RIM couldn't compete.

    IBM is one of the biggest, most powerful tech companies in the world -- because they're at or near the top of the enterprise space. If Google can do that, then they can survive their impending failure in the consumer space (as predicted by the article).
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 08, 2012 11:40 PM GMT
    metta8 saidGoogle, I don't think this is true. They are working on some amazing technologies that could make them much bigger. But I could be wrong.


    I agree. Between Android and the recent purchase of Motorola Mobile I think they'll be around for a while, although I don't think they'll necessarily be the #1 online ad. company or search engine forever.
  • Beeftastic

    Posts: 1747

    Jun 08, 2012 11:49 PM GMT
    I wonder why Twitter wasn't covered in that article. I don't think either are going to disappear anytime soon.

    Facebook has gained enough market share and momentum that it will carry it at least another 10 years. It might not have explosive growth, but it has reached the tipping point of success. I am more concerned how being a public company is going to affect it. The way Facebook is run is not compatible with the major reporting and checks and balances that a large public company operates within. And they have a massive profit margin on sales that simply doesn't exist with any public company I know, that profit margin is not sustainable in a public company IMHO.

    Google is the gatekeeper for so much of the Internet, it will continue to make money as so much data passes through it, and they will get tiny amounts of ad revenue from most of it. They have also passed a tipping point that makes them pretty hard to topple IMHO.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 09, 2012 1:06 AM GMT
    facebook will be gone... I only go on facebook once a week, where I used to go there several times a day...it gets boring to see all the trivial updates.... Google... I go there over 50 times a day. Amazon? I buy more and more on Amazon. Love Amazon and the product reviews.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 09, 2012 2:34 AM GMT
    I agree that facebook will disappear, it's just another lame social networking hype, we've seen plenty of those. But Google, I think Google will be around for a looong time, it's a big company, it has already expanded itself by buying youtube and it will continue expanding itself to even more branches. Atleast that's what I hope :p.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 15, 2012 12:19 AM GMT
    Interesting article metta8. I often wonder what the next hot technology will be. Will Microsoft be around, Google, FB, Apple, PC's? The trend is more mobile computing and the cloud, so it has to be phones and tablets. Security is a huge issue now. Who would want to store important information in the cloud if it's open to stealing. Pretty obvious stuff I know, but interesting to think about.
  • metta

    Posts: 42879

    Jun 15, 2012 1:37 AM GMT
    ^
    Google is working on many technologies with lots of potential. One such example is the self driven vehicles which are being tested in.....I think it is Arizona. If they are right, self driven vehicles will be the way of the future. That technology alone has an enormous potential, especially in areas with major traffic issues, such as many areas of California, New York, Hawaii, etc. Automatically driven vehicles would require much less room between them. And you would not have to worry about dumb moves by other vehicles if they were all automated. It has the potential to save many lives a year.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 15, 2012 1:39 AM GMT
    Maybe not gone but highly neutered? see AOL! Who would have thought that 10 years ago!
  • psustud

    Posts: 114

    Jun 07, 2017 11:51 PM GMT
    Oh man. How's this workin out
  • Posted by a hidden member.
    Log in to view his profile

    Jun 08, 2017 12:53 AM GMT
    The Tech's Frightful Five: They've Got Us

    NYT: This is the most glaring and underappreciated fact of internet-age capitalism: We are, all of us, in inescapable thrall to one of the handful of American technology companies that now dominate much of the global economy. I speak, of course, of my old friends the Frightful Five: Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Microsoft and Alphabet, the parent company of Google.

    The five are among the most valuable companies on the planet, collectively worth trillions. (Apple reached $800 billion in market capitalization this week, the first of any public company to do so, and the others may not be far behind.) And despite the picture of Silicon Valley as a roiling sea of disruption, these five have gotten only stronger and richer over time.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/10/technology/techs-frightful-five-theyve-got-us.html?
  • ChicagoSteve

    Posts: 1512

    Jun 08, 2017 1:47 AM GMT
    I actually like being in control and get disillusioned thinking about this dystopian future. Who wants self driving cars? What fun is that? The joy of owning a car is driving it and being in control. What fun is all of this technological advancement if we are all just part of a society living among robots? Not much to look forward to, IMO.
  • mwolverine

    Posts: 4873

    Jun 08, 2017 4:48 AM GMT
    Ah, but you are from the generation that couldn't wait to be 16 and drive.
    That's when life - freedom - began....

    Kids today, it seems, almost view driving as tedious.
    In the metropolitan areas, public transit has improved and grown in range (e.g. BART).
    In suburbia, there's Uber/Lyft.

    I believe drunk driving fatalities are down (not just cause cars are safer) and certainly awareness campaigns are up.
    The college aged crowd and yuppies don't want to drive home from the bar.

    Cars changed the way of life and ruled the 20th century.
    They're not going away in the 21st, but how we view them will be different.

    It's gonna be just great when the family car (just need one) can take the kids to soccer practice and grandma to her doctor's appointment. Or that one can work/read/sleep on the road, either the daily commute or the road trip.
  • Apparition

    Posts: 3888

    Jun 09, 2017 2:19 AM GMT
    psustud saidOh man. How's this workin out



    funny. the analysis forgot about DATA. the big companies have it and the little companies dont. you need DATA to do everything in the background that you dont even SEE. for instance have you ever wondered where those google maps time suggestions come from....and how they know where the road is slow. A start up cannot even DREAM of replicating such data in real time. But google can because of loss leader items that give them DATA.

    The analysis failed to determine what business the companies are actually in. Kind of like assuming companies like GM are tin whacking manufacturers...until you actually look at the paperwork and find out that GM is a BANK in all but name.