Washington Post: July panic for Obama — for good reason

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    Jul 18, 2012 1:31 PM GMT
    http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/post/july-panic-for-obama--for-good-reason/2012/07/15/gJQARQFXmW_blog.html

    By Jennifer Rubin

    Why has the Obama team been publicly wailing about losing out to Mitt Romney in the money race? Why would the president accuse his opponent of not merely being wrong or unqualified but criminal? After all, the polls are tied, so why so much worry in Obamaland?

    Like a mystery novel, the answer is in front of our noses: The candidates are still tied in the polls. Let’s go step by step with the most logical explanation of the Obama campaign’s conduct.

    The Obama team knew months ago that the economy would not sufficiently improve before Election Day to justify his reelection. Its polling showed simply blaming President George W. Bush wouldn’t be sufficient. The president and his political hacks concluded that it was too late and too risky to adopt a whole new second-term agenda. (It would risk offending either the base or centrists and reveal his first-term agenda to have been entirely inadequate.) So what to do?

    Extend the Republican primary by running ads hitting Romney and encouraging Democrats to vote against Romney in Michigan and elsewhere. Then, before Romney could fully get his bearings, unload a barrage of negative attacks, scare mongering and thinly disguised oppo attacks through the mainstream media, taking advantage of many political reporters’ relative ignorance about the private equity field and their inclination to accept whole-hog President Obama’s version of “facts.”

    The extent of that effort is only now becoming clear. The Associated Press reports: “President Barack Obama’s campaign has spent nearly $100 million on television commercials in selected battleground states so far, unleashing a sustained early barrage designed to create lasting, negative impressions of Republican Mitt Romney before he and his allies ramp up for the fall.” Think of it like the Confederacy’s artillery barrage on the third day of Gettysburg before Pickett’s charge — you have to in essence disable the other side before the charge begins or its curtains.

    Virtually all of the ads were viciously negative, and judging from the number of Pinocchios they’ve racked up, continually and materially false.

    But it didn’t work. Romney and Obama are still deadlocked. (The AP quoted Republican operative Carl Forti: “I don’t think . . . [Obama’s] got a choice. He has to try to change the dynamic now, but the polling indicates it’s not working. He doesn’t appear to be making any headway in the polls.”)

    Few Democratic pundits are as sharp or as honest as William Galston, who concedes:

    On the one hand, the last round of Bain attacks has clearly rattled the Romney campaign, and a smattering of survey evidence suggests that the sustained ad campaign in swing states has scored some points. On the other hand, the Pew survey found no shift since May in swing-state voter preference.

    But it’s not too early to say that Obama’s vital signs look dicey. Over the past 33 months, his job approval has been lower than George W. Bush’s at a comparable time in his presidency for all but one week. Bush averaged above 50 percent in the quarter before his successful reelection campaign, while Obama has been stuck in the 46-48 percent range for months. And the famous “wrong track” measure now stands at 63 percent, versus 55 percent in the days preceding the vote in 2004. If these two numbers don’t improve for Obama, his presidency will be in jeopardy. And they probably won’t — unless the economy perks up noticeably.


    So the Obama team has shot its wad. Its opponent has more ammo and more money now. Romney hasn’t been mortally wounded. And there isn’t money from Obama to keep up the 4-to-1 spending barrage. In fact without it, Obama might well have fallen behind in the race. So the Obama team pleads for money and turns up the volume of the attacks. (After calling Romney a criminal in July, what’s left for September and October?)

    Obama is now committed to a strategy that isn’t working. He’s left to unleash his attack dogs and to pray for a miracle. Maybe the economy will rebound. Perhaps Romney will implode or pick a Sarah-Palin-type for vice president.

    The reason, you see, that Obama’s camp has become so frantic in July is that its ineffectiveness in the summer subjects its side to grave risks. Having to defend his record, rely on his debate prowess and be evaluated on the economy over the last three years is as risky as, well, as sending thousands across a vast, empty field as enemy fire rains down upon them.
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    Jul 18, 2012 1:33 PM GMT
    http://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2012/07/is_the_obama_campaign_in_panic_mode.html

    Rick Moran commenting: Is the Obama campaign in panic mode?

    Jennifer Rubin thinks so. And she makes a pretty good case for it.

    Obama has spent $100 million on ads with precious little to show for it. And the fact that his fundraising is beginning to lag far behind Romney's means that when people start paying close attention to the race -- after the conventions -- Romney and his Super Pac allies will be flush while Obama will be scrambling.

    At the moment, whatever points are being scored by Obama are coming at a cost -- financial and political. False attacks are likely to turn off indies while the enormous ad buys in states like Ohio and Florida may yet prove to be a waste.
    If they aren't beginning to panic, perhaps they should be.
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    Jul 18, 2012 5:24 PM GMT
    Interesting to see them use Rules for Radicals and how it bites them in the ass.
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    Jul 18, 2012 5:26 PM GMT
    Weird how you are the only one commenting on this stupid post.
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    Jul 18, 2012 9:29 PM GMT
    smartmoney saidWeird how you are the only one commenting on this stupid post.

    You know, you're right, with the exception of you. That doesn't happen too often, but sure is weird.
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    Jul 19, 2012 1:22 PM GMT
    The REASON no one cares about this thread John, Is that it some BLOG crap you posted about the sky falling.

    Its opinion, conjecture and just rhetoric for you to munch on.. enjoy it.. no one else cares. (not even yer buddies)

  • CuriousJockAZ

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    Jul 19, 2012 1:36 PM GMT
    Interesting article by Jennifer Rubin, SoCal, filled of course with realities that the left seemingly wishes to turn a blind eye to. I do think it is pretty telling that in spite of the attacks on Romney from the Obama campaign, even stooping so low as to suggest he is possibly a felon, has had little, if any, effect on the polls. If anything, it is started to show just how solid of a candidate Romney actually might be. Of course, the libs here will poo-poo that notion, and that's just fine. Romney hasn't even begun to unleash his assault on all things Obama. Timing, as they say, is everything.
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    Jul 19, 2012 1:42 PM GMT
    CuriousJockAZ saidInteresting article by Jennifer Rubin, SoCal, filled of course with realities that the left seemingly wishes to turn a blind eye to. I do think it is pretty telling that in spite of the attacks on Romney from the Obama campaign, even stooping so low as to suggest he is possibly a felon, has had little, if any, effect on the polls. If anything, it is started to show just how solid of a candidate Romney actually might be. Of course, the libs here will poo-poo that notion, and that's just fine. Romney hasn't even begun to unleash his assault on all things Obama. Timing, as they say, is everything.

    New CBS poll showing Obama's likability ratings starting to decline, another potential impact of his negative ads and how they are backfiring. BTW - a number of analysts are saying the same as Rubin.