Obama leads 51-47 in Ohio

  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Oct 29, 2012 1:00 AM GMT
    http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-47-in-ohio.html

    PPP's newest Ohio poll finds Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney 51-47, up from a 49-48 margin a week ago.

    It's starting to look like Obama might have turned the corner with his wins in the second and third debates. When asked who they think won the debates as a whole Obama wins out 45/43, suggesting he really fixed his problems from the first debate with the second two. Obama's approval is on positive ground at 51/48, while Romney's favorability is in negative territory at 47/51. Ohioans trust Obama over Romney on both the economy (52/46) and foreign policy (54/44).

    Obama's built up a big lead among early voters in the state. 36% say they've already cast their ballots and they report having voted for Obama by a 63/36 margin. Romney's up 53/45 with those yet to vote.

    The main shift from a week ago is Democrats further unifying around Obama as the election nears. Last week he led 86/14 with them in the state and now he's pushed that up further to 88/10. Romney continues to lead with independents, 50/46, but that's down a tick from 49/42 last week.

    Obama's lead in Ohio comes thanks to big advantages among women (55/43), African Americans (86/12), and young voters (60/36). Romney's winning with men (52/46), whites (52/46), and seniors (54/45) but he would need to win those groups, particularly whites and men, by considerably wider margins if he was going to take the state.

    The Senate race really appears to be getting away from Josh Mandel in the closing stages. Sherrod Brown's opened up a 53/42 lead. Brown's winning independents 48/44 even as Obama loses them, and he has 89% of Democrats lined up behind him while only 81% of Republicans are committed to Mandel. Brown's approval is on slightly positive ground at 47/44, while Mandel continues to be very unpopular with only 38% of voters seeing him favorably to 51% with a negative opinion.

    Ohio's referendum to create an independent redistricting commission continues to appear headed for defeat. 37% of voters say they'll support it to 48% who are opposed. Independents oppose it by a 47/41 margin and although Democrats support it (55/30), Republicans are even more united in their opposition to it (12/72).
    Two other notes from Ohio:

    -There's no enthusiasm gap in the state. 69% of Democrats say they're 'very excited' to vote and 68% of Republicans do.

    -Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in the state 50/42.
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 19136

    Oct 29, 2012 2:38 AM GMT
    Romney will win Ohio
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    Oct 29, 2012 2:42 AM GMT
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif

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    Oct 29, 2012 2:55 AM GMT
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif



    We're doing everything we can to change that.
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    Oct 29, 2012 3:03 AM GMT
    Political%20Cartoon.jpg
  • HottJoe

    Posts: 21366

    Oct 29, 2012 3:06 AM GMT
    topathlete said
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif

    If he did have it in the bag, then why did you have to cherry pick the polls, dumb ass? Didn't respond to my message above splaining your lameness? BTW - hows that P90X working for you? Too bad they don't have one to rid the excess fat from the brain.


    I smell desperation. Hehe.icon_lol.gif
  • musclmed

    Posts: 3284

    Oct 29, 2012 3:19 AM GMT
    David4985 saidhttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-47-in-ohio.html



    -Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in the state 50/42.



    Not if Bush's WEATHER MACHINE has anything to say about it!!!!
  • rnch

    Posts: 11524

    Oct 29, 2012 3:23 AM GMT
    musclmed said
    David4985 saidhttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-47-in-ohio.html



    -Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in the state 50/42.



    Not if Bush's WEATHER MACHINE has anything to say about it!!!!



    I smell desperation. Hehe icon_lol.gif
  • musclmed

    Posts: 3284

    Oct 29, 2012 3:28 AM GMT
    rnch said
    musclmed said
    David4985 saidhttp://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-51-47-in-ohio.html



    -Democrats lead the generic Congressional ballot in the state 50/42.



    Not if Bush's WEATHER MACHINE has anything to say about it!!!!



    I smell desperation. Hehe icon_lol.gif



    No just pre empting the inevitable accusation that a storm had something to do with the upcoming election. It is gonna happen. I can feel it.

    I bet the legal briefs are being drawn up as they speak by Organizing for Obama . Considering they have plenty of time now they are not coming to the aid of fraudulent voters now that Jim Moran's son has resigned?

    http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-250_162-57539706/congressmans-son-resigns-after-voter-fraud-video/
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 19136

    Oct 29, 2012 5:30 AM GMT
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif



    Obama doesn't even have Pennsylvania in the bag. If there is one thing we do know about this election it is that no one has anything "in the bag". As for eating crow, I'll be so bold as to make a prediction:

    Romney wins popular

    Romney wins Electoral with a minimum of 300 electoral votes.

    Obama handed shocking defeat
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Oct 29, 2012 1:41 PM GMT
    HottJoe said
    topathlete said
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif

    If he did have it in the bag, then why did you have to cherry pick the polls, dumb ass? Didn't respond to my message above splaining your lameness? BTW - hows that P90X working for you? Too bad they don't have one to rid the excess fat from the brain.


    I smell desperation. Hehe.icon_lol.gif


    I have had the faceless troll on ignore. If he can't even put a picture behind his words/trolling then why should anyone hear what he has to say. I just saw his posts b/c you quoted him. Glad to see I had him on ignore for a reason. He is so desperate he has to go look through my profile to try and personally attack me. Too funny and you are right... very desperate. And he will continue to be on ignore. icon_biggrin.gif

    Wonder how long it took him to realize the reason I did not respond to him was b/c he was on ignore? icon_lol.gificon_lol.gificon_lol.gificon_lol.gif

  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Oct 29, 2012 1:43 PM GMT
    StudlyScrewRite saidPolitical%20Cartoon.jpg


    I think Ohio should be bigger and NM much smaller. IDK about NM - doesnt seem the candidates (Pres or VP) are spending any time in New Mexico
  • StevieB0402

    Posts: 159

    Oct 29, 2012 4:52 PM GMT
    freedomisntfree said
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif



    We're doing everything we can to change that.


    Obama's hold on Ohio is about the same as Romney's here in Florida so of course I'm donating all my free time to reverse that. I'm sure Obama would love our 29 electoral votes icon_biggrin.gif
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 19136

    Oct 29, 2012 5:00 PM GMT
    StevieB0402 said
    Obama's hold on Ohio is about the same as Romney's here in Florida so of course I'm donating all my free time to reverse that. I'm sure Obama would love our 29 electoral votes icon_biggrin.gif


    Do you have a prescription for Xanax or Valium? You may need it on November 6th. It'll be okay...myself and your other friends here at RJ will be here to help you through it. icon_wink.gif

  • jock_1

    Posts: 1492

    Oct 29, 2012 5:18 PM GMT
    If its true which its probably not. how can you be so giddy about an incumbant president who won in a landslide his last election? I would think you should be terrified that your man Obama is even in so close of a race. The truth is Independants and the debates have shown what a failure Obama is and has been for 4 years. Insider poll show Ohio is tied at 48. Thats what my birdie told me
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Oct 29, 2012 7:10 PM GMT
    It's amusing how you libs hide from news that upsets your little liberal bubble.

    This topic 10/29 new poll - Ohio likely voters show Romney 2 points ahead has 10 replies and only 58 views.

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2764647

    While this lib-approved topic Obama leads 51-47 in Ohio has 18 replies but over 10,200 views.

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2763265


    What fragile minds you libs have.
  • TheBizMan

    Posts: 4091

    Oct 29, 2012 7:16 PM GMT
    DontQuoteMe saidIt's amusing how you libs hide from news that upsets your little liberal bubble.

    This topic 10/29 new poll - Ohio likely voters show Romney 2 points ahead has 10 replies and only 58 views.

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2764647

    While this lib-approved topic Obama leads 51-47 in Ohio has 18 replies but over 10,200 views.

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2763265


    What fragile minds you libs have.


    Right so you point us in the direction of a self loathing gay right winger approved topic. You gay republicans should be put out of OUR misery.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Oct 29, 2012 8:58 PM GMT
    DontQuoteMe saidIt's amusing how you libs hide from news that upsets your little liberal bubble.

    This topic 10/29 new poll - Ohio likely voters show Romney 2 points ahead has 10 replies and only 58 views.

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2764647

    While this lib-approved topic Obama leads 51-47 in Ohio has 18 replies but over 10,200 views.

    http://www.realjock.com/gayforums/2763265


    What fragile minds you libs have.


    Weird attempt to manipulate thread view counts - reverse psychology? You sock guys are really weird. Grateful not all conservatives are as freakish as most of the ones who have chosen to haunt RJ.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Oct 29, 2012 9:02 PM GMT
    I am convinced that DontQuoteMe/Southbeach is in real life HOWARD DEAN !

    No one has done more to ensure that RJ Democrats will vote a straight ticket.

    The entire Conservaposse deserves praise for their work in ELECTING MORE DEMOCRATS.
  • MusclFurPeX

    Posts: 166

    Oct 29, 2012 9:41 PM GMT
    Mitt Romney Favorability (OH): Favorable 46.0% Unfavorable 50.0% (Oct. 25 - Mellman Group (D)) http://tpm.ly/TQwCFQ

    Obama Favorability (OH) : Favorable 53.0% Unfavorable 45.0% (Oct. 25 - Mellman Group (D)) http://tpm.ly/PDaUtK

    OH President '12: Obama (D) 49.0% Romney (R) 44.0%
  • StevieB0402

    Posts: 159

    Oct 30, 2012 5:24 PM GMT
    everybody can post different polls and viewpoints from now until midnight Nov. 7th..... this election is neck and neck and in a week we'll find out who wins, but CJAZ may be the guy needing prozac then. It'll be ok though, I'll invite you to my legal wedding reception within the next 4 years and you can get good and drunk. Might even find a nice gay guy for yourself, most of my friends are libertarians like me. icon_cool.gif


    side note: I remember reading that Texas has an agreement with the federal government that it can vote itself out of the union and become it's own country.... how do we make that happen?
  • roadbikeRob

    Posts: 14369

    Oct 30, 2012 5:32 PM GMT
    CuriousJockAZ said
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif



    Obama doesn't even have Pennsylvania in the bag. If there is one thing we do know about this election it is that no one has anything "in the bag". As for eating crow, I'll be so bold as to make a prediction:

    Romney wins popular

    Romney wins Electoral with a minimum of 300 electoral votes.

    Obama handed shocking defeat
    Obama is going to win Pennsylvania regardless whether he has it in the bag or not. As for states like Colorado, Nevada, Florida, Virginia, and Wisconsin it is a toss up and remains a toss up. Can't we just wait til Nov. 6thicon_question.gif
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 19136

    Oct 30, 2012 5:59 PM GMT
    roadbikeRob saidAs for states like Colorado, Nevada, Florida, Virginia, and Wisconsin it is a toss up and remains a toss up. Can't we just wait til Nov. 6thicon_question.gif



    But that's no fun. Making predictions is part of elections are they not icon_wink.gif
  • DalTX

    Posts: 612

    Nov 07, 2012 2:45 PM GMT
    CuriousJockAZ said
    David4985 said
    CuriousJockAZ saidRomney will win Ohio


    I am so going to love watching you eat your words come election day man. Obama has Ohio in the bag. icon_cool.gif



    Obama doesn't even have Pennsylvania in the bag. If there is one thing we do know about this election it is that no one has anything "in the bag". As for eating crow, I'll be so bold as to make a prediction:

    Romney wins popular

    Romney wins Electoral with a minimum of 300 electoral votes.

    Obama handed shocking defeat



    You and Dick "Landslide" Morris should take this show to Vegas.
    Sock away some hooker money for Morris. Oh, and keep your toes covered.
  • StevieB0402

    Posts: 159

    Nov 08, 2012 8:09 PM GMT
    On the plus side for him, with the country supposedly going to economic hell, think how inexpensive the hookers will be.