ART_DECO saidCan Texas go from a Republican state to a Democrat state?
When pigs fly. Texas was long a segregationist State, when Southern Democrats (Dixiecrats) were the racists. But the Republican Party saw the opportunity in the Solid South when Democrat President Lyndon Johnson alienated them with legislation like the Civil Rights Act and the Voting Rights Act in the 1960s, which empowered Blacks.
Since then the southern racists have morphed from Democrats to Republicans. Unless the 2 parties flip-flop again, Texas will remain solidly racist Republican for decades to come. The Latino demographics are a potential factor for change, but so long as Republicans in the Texas State legislature (as in other Red States) can keep playing voter redistricting tricks, Democrat votes will be diluted and ineffective.
I don't think so....I can see Texas being in play, possibly as a swing state by the 2016 election.
Your urban areas (Dallas and Houston) are going to trend more Democratic and you'll have reliable Latino votes in the El Paso area. Statewide, you are going to see a larger emphasis on voter registration among Latinos as well.
Texas is like what Florida used to be, remember? Back in the day, we had dingbat Republican Senator Paula Hawkins, the self-proclaimed "Housewife From Maitland (Orlando suburb) and ineffective Republican governor Bob Martinez. They are gone (literally, Paula Hawkins has since died). Central Florida was reliably Republican and the only Democratic stronghold was Miami-Dade, Palm Beach and Broward Counties. Fast forward here and the I-4 Corridor is safe in Democratic hands and we have high voter turnout among Latinos. Also (and here's something I think will make you smile).....St. Lucie County, north of Palm Beach has gone for Obama twice. That area is new fertile ground for Democrats and the better news is Jacksonville in Duval County is very close to turning blue--give it one more cycle and it will. That puts know-nothing Republican Congressman Ander Crenshaw from that area in peril for 2014. Plus, that could give us more opportunity to have a Democratic majority in our state Congressional delegation.
We evolved here in Florida and I'm under the belief that in due time, Texas will as well.
Now if we could do something about Kansas......