5 Reasons That a Supreme Court Marrige Equality Ruling Could Be the Best Thing for the GOP

  • metta

    Posts: 44450

    Mar 04, 2013 2:37 AM GMT
    5 Reasons That a Supreme Court Marrige Equality Ruling Could Be the Best Thing for the GOP

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    Mar 04, 2013 3:03 AM GMT
    I can envision a different outcome. If totally defeated by the US Supreme Court the Republican Party would press for a US Constitutional Amendment to outlaw gay marriage and unions. Such an amendment would become part of the Constitution, superseding any prior court rulings, and preventing any future cases to allow gay marriage.

    The ratification process would be fought at the State level, something Republicans in the past have been very good doing in opposing gay rights. The first obstacle would be getting the Senate and House to send the Amendment to the States, not possible with the current Congress (the President plays no part in the process, and has no veto).

    But the 2014 Congressional election could change that balance to give Republicans the votes they need to begin the amendment process, and they could very well make the anti-gay amendment a major issue for their candidates in State Congressional races.

    If Prop 8 is upheld, however, but DOMA gets overturned, that means individual State could ban gay marriage, but States must recognize gay marriage from those States that do allow it. The Republican goal would then be to outlaw gay marriage in the States that now permit it, as they've attempted before, so that the repeal of DOMA would be meaningless if no States actually had gay marriage to recognize at the Federal level.

    I see the Republicans as too committed to their core constituency to retreat on their stance against gay marriage & unions, or on any gay civil rights. But since public opinion is changing on this issue, the Republicans may be drawn like moths to their ideological flame, and be unable to resist their own political decline.
  • Apparition

    Posts: 4050

    Mar 05, 2013 1:08 AM GMT
    i have never understood, why the republicans dont keep the abortion and gun parts and just jump all over gay rights yes...its not like the religious people have another party to vote for...why not pick up another 5-8% FOR FREE at the cost of ...nothing. That would be victory conditions at ZERO political cost. Show one commercial of some little femme wedding shopping in nyc and say its a 5% boost to economic growth...so simple, so free, so logical...
  • KissTheSky

    Posts: 2026

    Mar 05, 2013 2:29 AM GMT
    If they lose in the Supreme Court, the GOP will just double down on the anti-gay crusade -- even though they have no chance of winning. The issue will become the new rallying point for the Republicans: they will go into full "victim" mode and spend the next three or four decades whining about how "traditional" marriage is supposedly under attack, and organizing around a fruitless constitutional amendment effort to stop the dirty gay people and save the children from those queer monsters.
    Of course, an amendment like that would have zero chance of passing, but it won't stop the conservative zealots. What it will do is further marginalize the Republican Party and turn off even more regular Americans who are sick of their sh*t.
    Result: Another three decades of lost elections and zero progress on the nation's real problems...situation normal at the GOP. icon_biggrin.gificon_biggrin.gif
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    Mar 05, 2013 6:00 AM GMT
    The best thing for the GOP is to dismantle and admit they're morons.