I predict !!!

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    Oct 11, 2008 2:23 AM GMT
    That the McPalin team will continue and even worsen their lies and truth stretching attacks on Obama/Biden, in the face of all the complaints even from within there won party. I think their actions are the reason their followers have become so retoricly violent, and that its become a self feeding storm. The worse the McPalin team and followers become, the greater the win of Obama/Biden. The more the Media exposes McPalin for their vitriolic presidential race, the more their followers will blame the media for their loss. The repugs will not see their loss as self inflicted. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> I think Obama/Biden will win by close to 15% to 20% over McPalin. McPalin will go down in history along with Bush?cheney as the worst administration/politics for our country, and will be an embarassment to overcome as far as international relations. >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>God I don't envy Obama/Biden for the work that is ahead of them, but they have the potential of being one of the greatest teams in our history, to the opposit extent that Bush/Cheney/McPalin were the worst !!! I have high hopes for our future under Obama/Bidens leadership !!!! >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>You may think I'm crazy !!! So I'd like to read of your PREDICTIONS, What are they????
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    Oct 11, 2008 2:38 AM GMT
    AT THIS MOMENT, Obama would win. Politics are volatile. If Obama wins, I don't think it'll be by the wide margin you state. I think he'll get the popular vote but the Electoral College will be closer.

    I predict the anti-gay marriage state constitutional amendments in both California and Florida will pass. That at least will please Republican RJ members here if their Presidential ticket loses.

    The US House & Senate will remain in Democratic control, but the squeaker will be whether Dems get the 60 Senate votes they need for a true majority. Under Senate rules, that would allow them to end Republican filibusters that block legislation. It would also allow them to override Presidential vetoes, if McCain should be elected.

    Republican filibusters have been the reason Senate Democrats have appeared so ineffective, which Republican hypocrisy has blamed on the Dems themselves. But sadly the average voter doesn't follow the votes, only hears the sound bites.

    In politics, reality is what is repeated.
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    Oct 11, 2008 2:43 AM GMT
    Red_Vespa saidAT THIS MOMENT, Obama would win. Politics are volatile. If Obama wins, I don't think it'll be by the wide margin you state. I think he'll get the popular vote but the Electoral College will be closer.


    The popular will be close. But even right-leaning prediction models have Obama winning by a wide margin in the electoral college, more moderate prediction models have Obama winning just short of the landslide margin of 375. After this and McCain's meltdown this week Obama just might take ridiculous states like Georgia (a reputable polling firm had them at a statistical tie there).
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    Oct 11, 2008 3:33 AM GMT
    I wouldn't expect the Deep South to deliver that well for Obama. I lived there for 13 years, and when the moment to cast the ballot comes, I think many whites will be unable to vote for a Black man. They'll have a last-second change of mind and vote their color & heritage, regardless of what current polls are reporting.
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    Oct 11, 2008 3:39 AM GMT
    I don't expect either the popular or the electoral college to be at all close.

    McCain's base has been basically reduced to the frothing pitchfork mobs. Today in Minnesota he actually had to tell them, his own supporters, to knock it off. Many Republicans are beginning to fear that when he loses, there will be actual violence from the right. Today in Louisiana a man brought his shotgun down to a polling place and basically declared his intention to shoot anyone who dared to vote for Obama. He yelled something like "There's never going to be a n------ in the White House".

    Sarah Palin has been officially rebuked by the bipartisan Alaskan legislative fact-finding commission. This won't matter to the frothers, but it will affect some of the undecided.

    Today, Ray LaHood, a Bush supporter and Republican congressman from Illinois, condemned the McCain campaign for its tactics.

    The Baltimore Sun carried an op-ed piece by a man who helped run McCain's 2000 campaign, in which he said essentially that in a country with a history of assassination, if anything should happen the blood will be on McCain's and Palin's hands.

    Latest tracking poll: Obama 52, McCain 41.

    My prediction: after the election, McCain will, like Bob Dole, quit the Senate. Sarah Palin's career in Alaska politics will be over as well. A coalition of Democrats, and the "regular" Republicans that she ran against two years ago will form to see to it that she is denied re-election. They may even impeach her.

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    Oct 11, 2008 4:02 AM GMT
    I find myself really afraid to predict the outcome of this election, though I wish to be cautiously optimistic that the Obama ticket will prevail.

    Senator McCain has always seemed like a good enough guy to me - his performance in this election campaign, and his impulsive choices have surprised even me - who expected him to be unpredictable. He clearly lacks the temperament to run a campaign, much less the office of President of the United States.

    It is difficult for me to get around the fact that Senator Obama has no experience and Senator Biden is so loathsome.

    Senator Obama is good looking, young, optimistic, Presidential in demeanor (in a 24 Jack Bauer sort of way), and so forth. What I hope he is, beyond all of those things, is prepared for the office.

    If they do win, I hope that a Vice President Biden will be locked in the Naval Observatory and the role of activist VP permanently retired with Cheney and his predecessor Gore.

    Terry
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    Oct 11, 2008 8:09 AM GMT
    I'm also terrified to make a prediction, just hoping that the end of our country's swing to the right is at an end.

    I did say, right after Obama's nomination that the demographics of traditionally Republican voting states would be enormously interesting to watch because of the increase in minority registration and voter turn out. I was right on the registration and hopefully right on voter turn out.

    A successful, even handed President for the next 8 years would be an enormous benefit to the partisan divide in the US and our international reputation. Even though McCain might have been a decent president under different circumstances, like maybe 8 years ago, I think he has too many ties with our previous generation's failures to move us forward as a nation.
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    Oct 11, 2008 10:33 AM GMT
    jprichva saidI don't expect either the popular or the electoral college to be at all close.

    McCain's base has been basically reduced to the frothing pitchfork mobs. Today in Minnesota he actually had to tell them, his own supporters, to knock it off. Many Republicans are beginning to fear that when he loses, there will be actual violence from the right. Today in Louisiana a man brought his shotgun down to a polling place and basically declared his intention to shoot anyone who dared to vote for Obama. He yelled something like "There's never going to be a n------ in the White House".

    Sarah Palin has been officially rebuked by the bipartisan Alaskan legislative fact-finding commission. This won't matter to the frothers, but it will affect some of the undecided.

    Today, Ray LaHood, a Bush supporter and Republican congressman from Illinois, condemned the McCain campaign for its tactics.

    The Baltimore Sun carried an op-ed piece by a man who helped run McCain's 2000 campaign, in which he said essentially that in a country with a history of assassination, if anything should happen the blood will be on McCain's and Palin's hands.

    Latest tracking poll: Obama 52, McCain 41.

    My prediction: after the election, McCain will, like Bob Dole, quit the Senate. Sarah Palin's career in Alaska politics will be over as well. A coalition of Democrats, and the "regular" Republicans that she ran against two years ago will form to see to it that she is denied re-election. They may even impeach her.


    I believe you are exactly correct re the future of McCain & Palin: and, I believe they know it already! Therefore, they decided to go down in a firestorm!
  • swimbikerun

    Posts: 2835

    Oct 11, 2008 11:48 AM GMT
    1010_mainchart.png
    http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/

    I predict the McCain will lose even more of the popular vote due to the bash Obama blacklash and Palin being found guilty of a bi-partisan investigation she had abused her office for political gain.