CuriousJockAZ saidI would take any poll at this stage of the game -- ESPECIALLY from places like ABC and NBC -- with a grain of salt
Oh my goodness. Of course, there's also FOX news, whose latest poll shows Obama up by 9 points.
Oh my goodness, Fox News has been taken over by the liberal cabal!!! Who would have ever guessed?
Oh, and there is the Pew Survey, that shows Obama up by over 10 points.
While polls are just polls, I am not certain why Curious states that we should not take them seriously at "...this stage of the game..." You mean two weeks before the election , when voters really have begun to make up their minds, the polls would be less indicative than they would be, say, six months ago.
Why do I sense a lot of "...whistlin' past the graveyard...:" in so many of these oddly disconnected posts from our Republican RJ'ers...
Yes, I love the FOX News poll.
Now, to be honest, there are two latest polls that show things as close: AP/GfK shows things as tied, and GWU/Battleground with Obama only up by 2. Of course, this all within their margin of error, so who knows who is really up in these two. But, all other major polls show Obama with a lead of 4 points all the way up to 14 (Pew). The Real Clear Politics average of the national polls has Obama up 6.8% over McCain. All the indicators show Obama in the lead. But, again, this is the national polls. We all know the popular vote doesn't matter much (ask Al Gore). You look at the polling of the individual states, and Obama clearly has a lead there. In fact, it could be a blowout for Obama. The Zogby poll, which is sort of skewed because they through in numbers from the previous presidential election (I don't understand it either), has until recently been slow to show Obama's momentum, but currently has Obama with a 10 point lead. Read this from John Zogby himself:
“Three big days for Obama. Anything can happen, but time is running short for McCain. These numbers, if they hold, are blowout numbers. They fit the 1980 model with Reagan's victory over Carter -- but they are happening 12 days before Reagan blasted ahead. If Obama wins like this we can be talking not only victory but realignment: he leads by 27 points among Independents, 27 points among those who have already voted, 16 among newly registered voters, 31 among Hispanics, 93%-2% among African Americans, 16 among women, 27 among those 18-29, 5 among 30-49 year olds, 8 among 50-64s, 4 among those over 65, 25 among Moderates, and 12 among Catholics (which is better than Bill Clinton's 10-point victory among Catholics in 1996). He leads with men by 2 points, and is down among whites by only 6 points, down 2 in armed forces households, 3 among investors, and is tied among NASCAR fans.”
Realignment? Tied among NASCAR fans???? A Reagan-like victory (look at the electoral college maps for 1980--forget Red or Blue, it was almost ALL Red, same for 1984)?
Read it all here: http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews1604.html
And let's not forget McCain's big endorsement today. Probably the only one he's gotten today. Al Qaeda:
"If al-Qaida carries out a big operation against American interests," the message said, "this act will be support of McCain because it will push the Americans deliberately to vote for McCain so that he takes revenge for them against al-Qaida. Al-Qaida then will succeed in exhausting America till its last year in it."