ELECTION NIGHT: What Will You Look For?

  • HndsmKansan

    Posts: 16311

    Oct 31, 2008 4:27 PM GMT
    Ok its election night. What will you look for as far as trends to determine what may end up happening?

    For me, I think its the outcomes in 2 states: Virginia and Pennsylvania. If
    Obama takes Virginia as expected, I'll be excited and wait to see whats up in Penn. My good friend, RJ member, PAMEDIC, is slated to give me updates. If those 2 states go.... I think Obama is well on his way to success!

    You? What will you look for?
  • auryn

    Posts: 2061

    Oct 31, 2008 5:00 PM GMT
    I will look for Obama to have his 270 before the polls close in the West.
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    Oct 31, 2008 8:27 PM GMT
    What am I looking for on election night? A rock to hide under until Obama is past the 270 mark.
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    Oct 31, 2008 8:36 PM GMT
    Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida are the states I will be looking at. Also Missouri and Colorado later in the evening.

    I will also be very interested in the voter turnout numbers, especially by demographic if it is available. Finally I will be keeping an eye out for any stories of voters having problems voting.

    In Canada, Elections Canada is responsible for organizing the voting and how it is done. Therefore we vote the old-fashioned way. An 'X' marked in pencil beside a candidates name. In the USA I believe each state is responsible for the voting technology which has resulted in some interesting scenarios in recent years.
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    Oct 31, 2008 8:38 PM GMT
    I'm going to be looking at how well the results reflect the state's polling/predictions. If they are off, it might be a long night.

  • GQjock

    Posts: 11649

    Oct 31, 2008 8:46 PM GMT
    I'm looking for Bush-like tactics where exit polls completely contradict what's happening on What The FOX News headlines....

    That's gonna tell me that the republicans are once again stealing an election

    I don't think they're going to be able to get away with it but with these criminals you never know
  • auryn

    Posts: 2061

    Oct 31, 2008 8:49 PM GMT
    I think someone on here listens to Stephanie Miller... icon_smile.gif
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    Nov 01, 2008 2:04 AM GMT
    HndsmKansan saidOk its election night. What will you look for as far as trends to determine what may end up happening?

    For me, I think its the outcomes in 2 states: Virginia and Pennsylvania. If
    Obama takes Virginia as expected, I'll be excited and wait to see whats up in Penn. My good friend, RJ member, PAMEDIC, is slated to give me updates. If those 2 states go.... I think Obama is well on his way to success!

    You? What will you look for?




    Champagne glasses.
    icon_smile.gif
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    Nov 01, 2008 2:50 AM GMT
    I'm hoping my state, Virginia, turns blue for the first time in 44 years.
  • styrgan

    Posts: 2017

    Nov 01, 2008 2:52 AM GMT
    Generally, networks have become very cautious since 2000 as far as "calling" states. So I'll be watching how quickly the networks place PA, VA, and NC in red or blue columns. Ideally, an early blue call for PA, a later blue call for VA, and a too close call for NC will be indicative for me of an Obama victory. Any lack of clarity on PA, an early red call for NC, and a "too close" call for VA will indicate a McCain victory (or at least that it will be a long night).
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    Nov 01, 2008 3:22 AM GMT
    I will be looking at a NC and VA mainly because NC is my home state and i am currently living in VA right now. BOth havnt voted democrat in over 40 years and Virginia is expected to go for Obama, as of right now either could win NC, Obama is ahead there, but its very close.

    Also, OH and FL are HUGE states to be looking at. If obama is announced to have won VA, lost NC, but won OH or FL he has the presidency. There is almost no way that McCain can win unless God magicly gives CA, NY, and IL to him, but we all know thats impossible, almost as impossible for Obama winning Texas or Alaska lol.

    Also, I am really interested to see if Obama can pull off a win in Indiana and a few states that have tightened in the polls the past few days such as mccains own home state of Arizona, N Dakota and Georgia.

    Im not too worried about NV, CO, and especially PA. PA is very democratic (except a few racist areas) state and obama is ahead like 12 points. NV and CO are not even considered toss up states according to CNN, they are strongly favoring Obama now. Missouri should be a very close one.
    I guess you can tell im a nerd about this election...hah
  • EricLA

    Posts: 3461

    Nov 01, 2008 3:31 AM GMT
    I'm pretty confident about Obama, and still hopeful that Prop 8 here in California (outlawing same-sex marriage as provided by our Supreme Court a few months ago), but I'll be anxious about it until I hear our side wins.

    I'll also look to races in other states. I'd love to see Kay Hagan take Elizabeth Dole's Senate seat. And I SO want crazy Marilyn Musgrave (the CO congresswoman who suggested anti-American activity might be going on in the Senate).
  • MuslDrew

    Posts: 463

    Nov 01, 2008 5:11 AM GMT
    On Tueday night i'll be looking to see how many states turn blue. I'm hoping my red state of Ohio does, but it may not.
  • silverfox

    Posts: 3178

    Nov 01, 2008 5:18 AM GMT
    Looking for Florida NOT to be the center of attention.....
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 19133

    Nov 01, 2008 5:26 AM GMT
    I'm expecting a long LONG night unless McCain squeaks out Pennsylvania and Ohio and Florida or maybe 2 out of the 3
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    Nov 01, 2008 5:28 AM GMT
    TheIStrat saidI'm hoping my state, Virginia, turns blue for the first time in 44 years.
    >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>I'mm with you buddy !!! I'm from South west VA, and I want to see this state go for Obama. If it does, along with Penn. then , Iowa, Colorado later in the evening, he'll have the election, when these are added to what is sure to be in his corner, Ohio, florida, Indiana, will be icing on the cake if they go nfor him too>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>I'm concerned though like GQ about any close races as to what efforts the repugs will have in play for stealing another election. I don't know if you guys have kept up or not with the Ohio election suits from 2004, but a judge this summer accepted some evidence and revived the suit allowing it to go forward. Rove has been implicated, and this same judge ordered his records preserved. That case is very much alive and looking like some convictions may well be the outcome. So don't be too complacent about what may be tried in this election. .
  • GQjock

    Posts: 11649

    Nov 01, 2008 9:07 AM GMT
    At this point we're even seeing McCain's own home state of Arizona starting to realize

    HOLY CRAP... this geezer in the White House?

    We better vote for Obama!
    Presidential race in Arizona a toss-up
    http://www.azpbs.org/horizon/poll/2008/10-28-08.htm

    ... and now even North Dakota is leaning towards Obama
    They haven't voted for a democrat in 30 yrs!!

    Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
    North Dakota: Obama 45%, McCain 45%

    http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/north_dakota_electoral_college_2008_xx/

    If this goes to McCain ... I think you might say there's a thumb on the scale someplace ?
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    Nov 01, 2008 9:26 AM GMT
    GQjock saidAt this point we're even seeing McCain's own home state of Arizona starting to realize

    HOLY CRAP... this geezer in the White House?

    We better vote for Obama!
    Presidential race in Arizona a toss-up
    http://www.azpbs.org/horizon/poll/2008/10-28-08.htm

    ... and now even North Dakota is leaning towards Obama
    They haven't voted for a democrat in 30 yrs!!

    Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research
    North Dakota: Obama 45%, McCain 45%

    http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/north_dakota_electoral_college_2008_xx/

    If this goes to McCain ... I think you might say there's a thumb on the scale someplace ?

    Hey! One electoral dictrict in Nebraska might be voting for Obama, and Nebraska hasn't voted for a Democrat since the 1960's!
  • GQjock

    Posts: 11649

    Nov 01, 2008 9:31 AM GMT
    Good for them icon_wink.gif

    But until the electoral college is abolished a district doesn't matter much
    I want the whole state

    I live in South Florida we know what living next to knuckle draggers does
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    Nov 01, 2008 10:07 AM GMT
    GQjock saidGood for them icon_wink.gif

    But until the electoral college is abolished a district doesn't matter much
    I want the whole state

    I live in South Florida we know what living next to knuckle draggers does
    Nebraska and Maine can split their electoral votes unlike other states. It could be the difference of one electoral vote!
  • HndsmKansan

    Posts: 16311

    Nov 01, 2008 2:09 PM GMT
    CuriousJockAZ saidI'm expecting a long LONG night unless McCain squeaks out Pennsylvania and Ohio and Florida or maybe 2 out of the 3



    I think you won't have a long night Todd... I think what happens will be very clear to you early on.........

    icon_biggrin.gif
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    Nov 01, 2008 2:30 PM GMT
    I will be looking to see what happens in Florida with its marriage amendment and in California with its marriage amendment. Even though I just moved to Massachusetts, I voted in Florida with absentee ballot and naturally I voted no on the marriage amendment.

    I expect John McCain to win the states of Florida and Arizona. I expect the marriage amendment to pass in Florida and Arizona as well. It is unlikely that John McCain would win the state of California, but the marriage amendment will be a nail biter.

    Even though I didn't vote here, Massachusetts has its own questions of interest on the ballot. Question 1 asks whether or not to eliminate the state income tax and question 2 deals with the question of how someone is penalized for small amounts of marijuana possession.

  • styrgan

    Posts: 2017

    Nov 01, 2008 3:27 PM GMT
    HndsmKansan said
    CuriousJockAZ saidI'm expecting a long LONG night unless McCain squeaks out Pennsylvania and Ohio and Florida or maybe 2 out of the 3



    I think you won't have a long night Todd... I think what happens will be very clear to you early on.........

    icon_biggrin.gif


    From Rasmussen's Daily Tracking Poll from today:

    "Nearly a third of voters say they have already cast their ballot and Obama leads by nine among this group. Obama also has a similar lead among the small group who have not voted but still plan to vote early. The candidates are essentially even among those who plan to vote on Tuesday"



    I'm not actually familiar with how all the states will be counting the early ballots, but I'm assuming they will wait until Election Day to count them. Since the first indication will be from the exit polls on Election Day, it is possible that the race may seem even until early and absentee ballots are counted. In which case, this could be a nail biter.

    We all want to hope for the best, Handsome. Experience has taught us to expect the worst.
  • coolarmydude

    Posts: 9190

    Nov 01, 2008 3:31 PM GMT
    I'm wearing blue that night and anytime the word "blue" is mentioned, I'm taking a celebratory drink (with red wine, of course). icon_razz.gif
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    Nov 01, 2008 4:05 PM GMT
    Enjoying the evening with some friends waiting anxiously for the results on Prop 8.