It would be wonderful if we did. But I know a lawyer who served on the board of several gay orgs down here and he doesn't believe the lawsuits filed this week will work. I would find it hard to believe the California Supreme Court would rule on something like this by the end of a week. That would be pretty unprecedented. I don't see why that would happen.
So, in the short term I don't thin we will will this. But, Nate Silver, who did some great poll crunching on his site www.fivethirtyeight.com leading up to the election and was pretty accurate as things unfolded, says this of Prop 8:
"At the end of the day, Prop 8's passage was more a generational matter than a racial one. If nobody over the age of 65 had voted, Prop 8 would have failed by a point or two. It appears that the generational splits may be larger within minority communities than among whites, although the data on this is sketchy.
"The good news for supporters of marriage equity is that -- and there's no polite way to put this -- the older voters aren't going to be around for all that much longer, and they'll gradually be cycled out and replaced by younger voters who grew up in a more tolerant era. Everyone knew going in that Prop 8 was going to be a photo finish -- California might be just progressive enough and 2008 might be just soon enough for the voters to affirm marriage equity. Or, it might fall just short, which is what happened. But two or four or six or eight years from now, it will get across the finish line."
Prop 8 won with 52.3% of the vote. That isn't a big margin. It the community reaches out to minority communities, we can win this battle in just a few years.