Carthage saidUkrainian guy here.
In fact, russian military have already invaded Crimea yesterday. Its loss seems now iminent. The more important question for now is wether Putin has plans to go further into eastern and southern regions of Ukraine, which may bring a lot of economical losses and blood because most likely there will be some kind of opression unlike Crimean.
Crimea itself is useless, because its hugely dependable on the mainland Ukraine - all the communications and even water supply are maintained from there.
Several years ago I sat in the U.S. and for the most part received news from U.S. media sources. At the time I had substantial business interests in Europe and Russia visiting several times per year but did not focus on European news other than that related to my business interest. Now with my permanent residence in Europe daily news I receive is of course from Europe and I can tell you it is quite different in perspective than what most Real Jock members receive.
Ukraine as a nation has practically zero economic activity with Europe other than owing debt to be honest. Yes there is economic activity, but when compared to countries integrated into the Eurozone it is minimal. The advantage of course for Ukraine to enter the zone is in all honesty the said ability to borrow more. Whether that will enable Ukraine to be self supporting is one very big question. Think of Greece and by the way, what the U.S. is becoming very quickly.
If I were to be forced to choose between Russian and Ukrainian business opportunities and I can you the choice would be Russia hands down. I earn Euros of every cubic meter of product flowing through those pipelines. If the armed forces of Ukraine threaten that, not only will you see Russia move across Ukraine, but you will suddenly see a significant mood change in Europe. The union will fracture and there will be Eurozone countries ready to eat Ukraine for lunch.
Sadam Hussein threatened energy commerce across the Middle-East when he moved up to the Saudi border. Russia is not seen as a Sadam in Europe, but Ukraine could easily fall into that role as a nation.
It think it is time for Ukrainians to be realistic in their views. Something must change rapidly for there to be any hope of maintaining a reasonable lifestyle, e.g. food in the market.
Of course, you may believe the Ukrainian Army will hold off the Russians. I'm not sure whether stockpiles of armaments will carry the army for two weeks, as your government has not exactly been spending money on the army.