Moore’s Law Turns 50

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    May 14, 2015 1:44 AM GMT
    NYT: On April 19, 1965, just over 50 years ago, Gordon Moore, then the head of research for Fairchild Semiconductor and later one of the co-founders of Intel, was asked by Electronics Magazine to submit an article predicting what was going to happen to integrated circuits, the heart of computing, in the next 10 years.

    Studying the trend he’d seen in the previous few years, Moore predicted that every year we’d double the number of transistors that could fit on a single chip of silicon so you’d get twice as much computing power for only slightly more money. When that came true, in 1975, he modified his prediction to a doubling roughly every two years. “Moore’s Law” has essentially held up ever since.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/13/opinion/thomas-friedman-moores-law-turns-50.html?ref=opinion&_r=0
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    May 14, 2015 2:18 AM GMT
    I think it's time for some dude named Less to create a law.

    Can you even imagine?

    Hypothetical headline story:
    "Howard Less, editor of Biomedicine Today and professor at Nothingham University, has written an article stating that computing power is now lending itself to diminishing returns as nanotechnology fails to keep up with consumer demand for more semiconductors on silicon chips. Instead, he predicts that animal cells will create the conductivity needed to create massive quantum computers that double in computing capacity at an algorithmic rate every second, eventually taking over the intellectual ability of mankind and putting us at the same intellectual level of rats that are currently used in lab tests. He calls this new degrading of silicon-based technology Less's Law."
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    May 14, 2015 7:52 AM GMT
    Moore's law is such a misnomer. It should have been called Moore's Prediction or anything else, but Moore's law.
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    May 14, 2015 11:20 AM GMT
    __morphic__ saidMoore's law is such a misnomer. It should have been called Moore's Prediction or anything else, but Moore's law.

    Calling these things "Laws" is a common misnomer. "Murphy's Law" is another example of such an adage. ("Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong") Prediction or Law, take your pick, but in common usage we call them "Laws".
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    May 14, 2015 6:09 PM GMT
    Art_Deco said
    __morphic__ saidMoore's law is such a misnomer. It should have been called Moore's Prediction or anything else, but Moore's law.

    Calling these things "Laws" is a common misnomer. "Murphy's Law" is another example of such an adage. ("Anything that can go wrong, will go wrong") Prediction or Law, take your pick, but in common usage we call them "Laws".


    Oh yep, one of those days!
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    May 14, 2015 9:16 PM GMT
    Less is Moore.
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    May 15, 2015 2:39 AM GMT
    manboynyc saidLess is Moore.
    Does that mean that if I say I want to do you Less, it actually means I want to do you Moore? icon_wink.gif
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    May 15, 2015 7:25 PM GMT
    Whatever you want to call it, Gordon Moore's prediction was quite accurate, and we have all benefitted from the reality of it. You have more compute power in your phone pocket today than a mainframe computer had in 1965; a lot more.
  • Hypertrophile

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    May 15, 2015 7:31 PM GMT
    paulflexes saidI think it's time for some dude named Less to create a law.

    Can you even imagine?

    Hypothetical headline story:
    "Howard Less, editor of Biomedicine Today and professor at Nothingham University, has written an article stating that computing power is now lending itself to diminishing returns as nanotechnology fails to keep up with consumer demand for more semiconductors on silicon chips. Instead, he predicts that animal cells will create the conductivity needed to create massive quantum computers that double in computing capacity at an algorithmic rate every second, eventually taking over the intellectual ability of mankind and putting us at the same intellectual level of rats that are currently used in lab tests. He calls this new degrading of silicon-based technology Less's Law."


    I know, right? If only I had a nickel for every time I said that.
  • Hypertrophile

    Posts: 1021

    May 15, 2015 7:35 PM GMT
    BikeJockey saidWhatever you want to call it, Gordon Moore's prediction was quite accurate, and we have all benefitted from the reality of it. You have more compute power in your phone pocket today than a mainframe computer had in 1965; a lot more.


    I think it's even more impressive than that. It's something like your phone has more power than all computers made prior to 1965 combined.

    Well, that's what I heard.
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    May 16, 2015 4:44 PM GMT
    the same thing has been happening to mechanical storage and seems the physical world is catching up to them.
  • oldfart

    Posts: 328

    May 17, 2015 5:15 AM GMT
    1) Anyone can write a "law" - look at the mess your Congress has made.

    2) Moore's Whatever will have to top out and taper off at some point - we can't build circuits with muons yet.