JPL is 99.9 Percent Sure Los Angeles Will Get a Big Earthquake in the Next Two and a Half Years

  • metta

    Posts: 39159

    Oct 21, 2015 7:03 AM GMT
    JPL is 99.9 Percent Sure Los Angeles Will Get a Big Earthquake in the Next Two and a Half Years

    http://la.curbed.com/archives/2015/10/los_angeles_big_earthquake.php
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    Oct 21, 2015 1:34 PM GMT
    metta saidJPL is 99.9 Percent Sure Los Angeles Will Get a Big Earthquake in the Next Two and a Half Years

    http://la.curbed.com/archives/2015/10/los_angeles_big_earthquake.php


    Where's the seismidyke when we need her?
  • bro4bro

    Posts: 1035

    Oct 21, 2015 7:39 PM GMT
    Well that's just silly.

    Speaking as a former seismologist, let me tell you that NO ONE can be so sure a major earthquake will strike within two years. That's because two years is less than the blink of an eye in geologic time. All of recorded human history is barely a blip on the radar. Earthquakes happen because the pressure builds up until something pops - but trying to predict it accurately is like predicting the exact millisecond when a popcorn kernel will pop.

    Funny this advanced technology came from JPL instead of CalTech, the recognized experts in the field, who happen to be right down the street.
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    Oct 21, 2015 7:48 PM GMT
    Can I insert a HAARP joke here quick?


    .. no?


    Dammit, y'all are just no fun.



    On a serious note - The only people sure enough that something disastrous is gonna happen with minute precision are doomsday conspiracy theorists. Even though it never does.
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    Oct 21, 2015 7:58 PM GMT
    bro4bro saidWell that's just silly.

    Speaking as a former seismologist, let me tell you that NO ONE can be so sure a major earthquake will strike within two years. That's because two years is less than the blink of an eye in geologic time. All of recorded human history is barely a blip on the radar. Earthquakes happen because the pressure builds up until something pops - but trying to predict it accurately is like predicting the exact millisecond when a popcorn kernel will pop.

    Funny this advanced technology came from JPL instead of CalTech, the recognized experts in the field, who happen to be right down the street.


    "pressure builds up until something pops "

    When that happened to me, I fell asleep a few minutes later.

    icon_eek.gif
  • metta

    Posts: 39159

    Oct 23, 2015 12:55 PM GMT
    USGS Says There's Only an 85 Percent Chance of a Big-ish Earthquake Near LA By 2019


    http://la.curbed.com/archives/2015/10/usgs_says_theres_only_an_85_percent_chance_of_a_bigish_earthquake_near_la_by_2019.php