The GOP is dying off, literally: How to win the Whtie House when your voters are dying

  • TroyAthlete

    Posts: 4269

    Dec 31, 2015 3:18 PM GMT
    http://www.alternet.org/gops-bleak-demographic-destiny-how-win-white-house-when-all-your-voters-are-dyingPut simply, the Democratic edge among minority voters, younger voters and educated voters keeps getting stronger as each group comes to represent a larger and larger share of the electorate. And that edge will only be more pronounced heading into 2016.


    http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/05/the-gop-is-dying-off-literally-118035The Republican Party voter is old—and getting older...And that quick back-of-the-napkin math shows that the trend could have a real effect in certain states, and make a battleground states like Florida and Ohio even harder for the Republican Party to capture.

    By combining presidential election exit polls with mortality rates per age group from the U.S. Census Bureau, I calculated that, of the 61 million who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012, about 2.75 million will be dead by the 2016 election. President Barack Obama’s voters, of course, will have died too—about 2.3 million of the 66 million who voted for the president won’t make it to 2016 either. That leaves a big gap in between, a difference of roughly 453,000 in favor of the Democrats.


    Limited appeal can work in a midterm election -- unfortunately it makes the GOP dead in the water round come Presidential years.
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    Dec 31, 2015 3:32 PM GMT
    At it's best, the GOP represents America as an idea of individual freedom and liberty, as opposed to the collectivism promoted by the Democrats.

    Freedom and liberty are not owned by any racial or social group. My guess is that as America becomes more "multicultural" you will see demographic changes to the Republican party. The articles you reference are probably catnip for liberals, meant to boost ad revenues.
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    Dec 31, 2015 3:47 PM GMT
    It is an irony that the four conservative parties in the history of our country including the latest incarnation called the GOP have one thing in common in their DNA, xenophobia, and yet certain immigrant demographics gravitate towards a conservative party in the hope of extricating their early social station to belong to a group that does not want them in the first place.

    But eventually these demographics come to an understanding what a conservative party is about to gravitate toward the progressive party which leads to multiple deaths of conservative parties in our country.
  • tj85016

    Posts: 4123

    Dec 31, 2015 3:55 PM GMT
    oh, I guess that's why 31 state legislatures and 30 governors are Republican lol
  • TroyAthlete

    Posts: 4269

    Dec 31, 2015 4:31 PM GMT
    S2Ki saidAt it's best, the GOP represents America as an idea of individual freedom and liberty, as opposed to the collectivism promoted by the Democrats.

    Freedom and liberty are not owned by any racial or social group. My guess is that as America becomes more "multicultural" you will see demographic changes to the Republican party. The articles you reference are probably catnip for liberals, meant to boost ad revenues.


    That ship sailed when Goldwater decided to run on opposition to the Civil Rights Act -- the Democratic Party supports equality of opportunity for all -- no matter their race, religion, eceonoic status, or sexual orientation -- and a robust safety net to protect the vulnerable. To the extent that Republicans support "freedom and equality" they do it for rich old white conservative hetereosexual Christian males first and foremost, which is no way to build a multicultural democracy or exapnd a political party.

    My guess is until the party starts nominating more Lincolns and Eisenhowers and stops pandering to greed, selfishness, and bigotry by embracing fringe figures like Donald Trump and Kim Davis, there will be no Republican Party as America becomes more multicultural. The numbers in the artile I reference are math, and arithmetic is hard to refute.
  • TroyAthlete

    Posts: 4269

    Dec 31, 2015 4:34 PM GMT
    tj85016 saidoh, I guess that's why 31 state legislatures and 30 governors are Republican lol


    Like I said:

    Troyathlete said...Limited appeal can work in a midterm election


    The reason why Republicans can't win national elections, have lost the popular vote in 5 of the last 6 Presidential elections, have zero path to 270 electoral votes in 2016, and are forced by reality and popular opinion to cave sooner or later to the progressive Democratic agenda even where they do have control is because gravity always sets in Presidential years.
  • TroyAthlete

    Posts: 4269

    Dec 31, 2015 4:39 PM GMT
    woodsmen said...and yet certain immigrant demographics gravitate towards a conservative party in the hope of extricating their early social station to belong to a group that does not want them in the first place.


    I wonder if this also applies to the many RealJock "conservatives" who were born before the gay rights movement. It seems odd to continue to support a party whose platforms seeks to deny them the basic equal rights that are the foundation of a free society -- but then again, many gays are into masochism. *shrug*
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    Jan 01, 2016 5:19 PM GMT
    TroyAthlete said
    S2Ki saidAt it's best, the GOP represents America as an idea of individual freedom and liberty, as opposed to the collectivism promoted by the Democrats.

    Freedom and liberty are not owned by any racial or social group. My guess is that as America becomes more "multicultural" you will see demographic changes to the Republican party. The articles you reference are probably catnip for liberals, meant to boost ad revenues.


    That ship sailed when Goldwater decided to run on opposition to the Civil Rights Act -- the Democratic Party supports equality of opportunity for all -- no matter their race, religion, eceonoic status, or sexual orientation -- and a robust safety net to protect the vulnerable. To the extent that Republicans support "freedom and equality" they do it for rich old white conservative hetereosexual Christian males first and foremost, which is no way to build a multicultural democracy or exapnd a political party.

    My guess is until the party starts nominating more Lincolns and Eisenhowers and stops pandering to greed, selfishness, and bigotry by embracing fringe figures like Donald Trump and Kim Davis, there will be no Republican Party as America becomes more multicultural. The numbers in the artile I reference are math, and arithmetic is hard to refute.


    So Hillary Clinton, the self-professed Goldwater girl, seen here hugging KKK Grand Dragon, Robert Byrd is your candidate?

    article-1290255-0A3D5658000005DC-89.jpg~

    Democrats are race hustlers from way back, whether it's Jesse Jackson and hiring quotas, or Bull Connor and lynchings. On the other side is Donald Trump and many Republicans, who support Affirmative Action. And unlike Democrats, they're honest in telling you that your success is based on the key principles of freedom, liberty and hard work.

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    Jan 03, 2016 4:28 AM GMT

    The Dems can lose if they keep trying. Trump has figured it out but he is not the right person:

    600_413574552.jpeg