Donald Trump's Big Plan to Stop a Contested Republican Convention

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    Mar 25, 2016 2:12 PM GMT
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    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/trump-aides-plot-two-phase-strategy-win-potential-contested-convention-n545231
    On the campaign trail, Donald Trump has a clear answer to questions about a contested convention in Cleveland — it's not happening.

    The dealmaker, however, is not leaving anything to chance.

    While Trump publicly dismisses talk of a battle in Cleveland, he is quietly assembling a team of seasoned operatives to manage a contested convention. Their strategy, NBC has learned, is to convert delegates in the crucial 40 days between the end of the primaries and the convention - while girding for a floor fight in Cleveland if necessary.

    The outreach is already underway.

    We are talking to tons of delegates," says Barry Bennett, a former Ben Carson campaign manager now leading the delegate strategy for Trump...

    Trump faces an even more unpredictable process on the convention floor if he does not lock in a clear delegate majority before Cleveland.

    If no candidate clinches the nomination on the first ballot, there are new rounds of voting, and the rules allow delegates to switch teams.

    An operative on Trump's convention team, who was not authorized to speak on the record, described Phase Two as an effort to prevent attrition in that balloting.

    "Our goal," the aide says, "is to make sure every delegate Trump has now stays a Trump delegate on the second ballot."

    The horse-trading also intensifies on later balloting...

    While his convention team prepares, Trump is publicly casting any challenge to his nomination as either dangerous or unfair.

    In a CNN interview on March 17, Trump said "I think you'd have riots" if delegates blocked him from the nomination at the convention....


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    Mar 26, 2016 2:43 PM GMT
    If the alleged Cruz cheating "scandal" gains momentum--whether it's ultimately proven to be true or not--Trump may not have to worry about a contested convention. I don't know whether Cruz's cheating is true or not. What I do know, however, is that occasional cheating or having a mistress on the side is tolerated in many Hispanic communities.
  • CuriousJockAZ

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    Mar 26, 2016 2:57 PM GMT
    theantijock said<
    While his convention team prepares, Trump is publicly casting any challenge to his nomination as either dangerous or unfair.

    In a CNN interview on March 17, Trump said "I think you'd have riots" if delegates blocked him from the nomination at the convention....



    In my opinion, Trump is spot on here. Unlike the Democrat race in which there was only 2 candidates in the primaries, Trump was competing against 17 candidates who only recently whittled down to 3 candidates, so getting to that required 1237 delegates is disproportionately much harder to achieve. It's pretty obvious that Trump is either going to reach the 1237, or get very close. If he has significantly more delegates than the others, and the GOP deny him the nomination, it will be a disaster. There probably will be some rioting. This would be a very bad move for the GOP, and they should do everything possible to avoid it from happening.
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    Mar 27, 2016 4:58 PM GMT
    CuriousJockAZ said
    theantijock said<
    While his convention team prepares, Trump is publicly casting any challenge to his nomination as either dangerous or unfair.

    In a CNN interview on March 17, Trump said "I think you'd have riots" if delegates blocked him from the nomination at the convention....



    In my opinion, Trump is spot on here. Unlike the Democrat race in which there was only 2 candidates in the primaries, Trump was competing against 17 candidates who only recently whittled down to 3 candidates, so getting to that required 1237 delegates is disproportionately much harder to achieve. It's pretty obvious that Trump is either going to reach the 1237, or get very close. If he has significantly more delegates than the others, and the GOP deny him the nomination, it will be a disaster. There probably will be some rioting. This would be a very bad move for the GOP, and they should do everything possible to avoid it from happening.


    I'm not familiar with how all that works. What becomes of the delegates won by those who dropped out?

    What I think I understand is that the Republican frontrunner needs more than 50% and I think their reasoning is that the majority ought not be ruled by any plurality, which I think is the rationale for justifying a contested convention if a majority is not decided during the primary.'

    Correct me if I've misunderstood that.

    To the point on riots, I believe the issue there is that it wasn't his call to call that because even if he was just innocently mentioning--and how likely is that?--it could easily (especially from a guy right out of scripted TV land) have been interpreted characteristically as instruction.