Aug 01, 2016 5:00 PM GMT
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/01/in-the-first-major-poll-after-both-conventions-trumps-bump-has-vanished/Prior to both conventions, a poll from CBS and the New York Times had Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump tied at 40 percent. What's remarkable about that isn't just that the two were tied. It's that 20 percent of respondents did not have a preference between them. In the first poll conducted after both conventions, that situation has changed. Now, according to CBS News, Clinton leads Trump 46 to 39 — a seven-point swing
Compared to the pre-convention poll, Clinton gained six points and Trump lost one. The margin of error here means that Trump's support is essentially unchanged — but Clinton's gain is real. Broken down by party, you see that Clinton improved dramatically with independent voters, gaining after both conventions.
Here's the view of it from conservative congregator RealClear
Here's what 2008 looked like