Oct 05, 2016 9:27 PM GMT
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/10/gop-women-donald-trump-2016-214318As the election ticks down to the wire, there’s a glaring disadvantage staring the Trump campaign in the face—one that is an explicit slap to his daughter, Ivanka, a Wharton Business School graduate and mother of three who has so often attempted to soften her father’s image and portray him as a champion of equality in the workplace.
For months, polls have shown that Donald Trump will require a white supermajority to offset his historic deficits among African-Americans and Latinos in order to secure even a narrow victory in November. It’s now becoming clear that Trump isn’t hitting the numbers he needs—and that one demographic is standing in the way of the plan. “The main factor behind [Trump’s] underperformance among white voters,” according to a Monmouth poll conducted over the summer, “is his lack of support among white women with a college degree.”
Educated women, it appears, are defecting in droves from the GOP...Trump is losing educated white women to Hillary Clinton by a staggering 30 points, 57 to 27 percent, according to Monmouth, and other polls have shown similar numbers.
This is a huge change since 2012, when Romney won that demographic by 6 points. “[I]f Clinton can sustain the support of white educated women shown in recent polls,” writes the Brookings Institution's William Frey, “she can overcome supersized turnout of white working class men.” And that, he concludes, would be “historic”—“by making white college-educated women a lynchpin of a decisive Democratic win.”