Oct 13, 2016 1:54 AM GMT
http://www.jsonline.com/story/news/blogs/wisconsin-voter/2016/10/12/poll-charts-damage-tape-trump-wisconsin/91953688/Awash in controversy and dogged by divisions in his own party, Donald Trump has slipped further behind Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin and now trails her by 7 points in the latest survey of likely voters by Marquette University Law School....
Clinton leads Trump 44% to 37%, with Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson at 9% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 3%.
The new poll was taken as the furor was erupting over a tape of Trump in 2005 bragging in crude terms about groping women.
The poll’s timing made it a natural test of the impact of the tape, since about half the voters were interviewed Thursday before the tape surfaced, and about half were interviewed just as the story was breaking or after it was widely reported.
The pattern is dramatic: Clinton trailed Trump in Wisconsin by 1 point in Thursday's polling before the tape broke; she led by 6 on Friday as the story was getting out; and she led by 19 on Saturday and Sunday, after the story had gone viral.
“We have really good evidence that there was, in fact, a substantial shift,” said Charles Franklin, who conducted the poll.
Franklin called it “a pretty widespread” turn away from Trump “across demographic groups, from evangelicals and men and noncollege whites to women and independents and so on.”
Said Franklin: “The real question is … is it enduring or not? And that’s what we don’t know.”