ELECTION UPDATE Sept 24: Obama up in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Nevada

  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 12, 2012 9:09 PM GMT
    TroyAthlete said
    Business InsiderThe new poll from the Pew Research Center is, plain and simple, the worst yet for Mitt Romney.

    Not only has President Barack Obama expanded his overall lead from 4 points to 7 points, he also leads on almost every individual issue, including the economy and jobs.

    Overall, Obama beats Romney on 11 of the 12 issues, including some of the most crucial ones:

    7-12-12-3.png



    Ha. And how about who would...

    ...deny freedom and equality to gay taxpayers?[/b] +100% Romney
    ...cut taxes for the super rich? +100% Romney
    ...commit a felony by falsifying SEC filings about his career? +100% Romney
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 25, 2012 5:59 PM GMT
    UPDATE: Wednesday, July 25

    Popular Vote: NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl
    Obama 49 (+6), Romney 43

    Popular Vote: Gallup Tracking
    Romney 46 (+1), Obama 45

    Michigan: PPP
    Obama 53 (+14), Romney 39

    Michigan: Mitchell Research
    Romney 45 (+1), Obama 44

    Pennsylvania: PPP
    Obama 49 (+6), Romney 43

    Minnesota: KSTP/SurveyUSA
    Obama 46 (+6), Romney 40

    Florida: SurveyUSA
    Obama 48 (+5), Romney 43

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction July 24
    Obama 342, Romney 196

    Jul25-noras.png
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    Jul 25, 2012 6:15 PM GMT
    Missouri as Weak Obama? I don't think so. RCP has Missouri as Weak Romney.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 25, 2012 6:18 PM GMT
    libertpaulian saidMissouri as Weak Obama? I don't think so. RCP has Missouri as Weak Romney.


    This map disregards Rasmussen polls as bogus (for good reason) explaining the discrepancy.

    But even so, give Missouri's 10 electoral votes to Romney. *shrug* Wouldn't make a dimes worth of difference.
  • DalTX

    Posts: 612

    Jul 25, 2012 7:06 PM GMT
    Poor Willard, he's going to get wiped out in both of his home states.
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    Jul 25, 2012 8:11 PM GMT
    TroyAthlete said
    libertpaulian saidMissouri as Weak Obama? I don't think so. RCP has Missouri as Weak Romney.


    This map disregards Rasmussen polls as bogus (for good reason) explaining the discrepancy.

    But even so, give Missouri's 10 electoral votes to Romney. *shrug* Wouldn't make a dimes worth of difference.

    I checked E-V.com today, and clicked on Arizona...it showed AZ as "Strong Republican" and cited a Rassmussen poll for that reason.

    So, yes, it does use Ras from time to time.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 26, 2012 7:05 PM GMT
    libertpaulian said
    TroyAthlete said
    libertpaulian saidMissouri as Weak Obama? I don't think so. RCP has Missouri as Weak Romney.


    This map disregards Rasmussen polls as bogus (for good reason) explaining the discrepancy.

    But even so, give Missouri's 10 electoral votes to Romney. *shrug* Wouldn't make a dimes worth of difference.

    I checked E-V.com today, and clicked on Arizona...it showed AZ as "Strong Republican" and cited a Rassmussen poll for that reason.

    So, yes, it does use Ras from time to time.


    E-V.com publishes two separate maps: one with Rasmusen and one without. It started publishing the one without in response to widespread concerns about Rasmussen's unreliability given the pollster's dismal past performance.

    This particular map disregards Rasmussen's polls as bogus.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 26, 2012 7:11 PM GMT
    UPDATE: Thursday, July 26

    Missouri: WeAskAmerica
    Romney 49 (+9), Obama 40

    Popular Vote: Gallup Tracking
    Obama 46, Romney 46

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction July 25
    Obama 342, Romney 196

    Jul26-noras.png
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 27, 2012 11:32 PM GMT
    Update: Friday, July 27

    Ohio: WeAskAmerica
    Obama 48 (+8 ), Romney 40

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction July 26
    Obama 342, Romney 196

    Jul27-noras.png
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Jul 31, 2012 6:18 PM GMT
    Update: Tuesday, July 31

    Popular Vote: Gallup Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 45

    Popular Vote: Democracy Corps
    Obama 50, Romney 46

    Florida: PPP
    Obama 48, Romney 47

    Missouri: Post-Dispatch/Mason-Dixon
    Romney 51, Obama 42

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction July 30
    Obama 332, Romney 206

    Jul31-noras.png
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Aug 01, 2012 5:54 PM GMT
    Update: Wednesday, August 1

    Popular Vote: Gallup Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 45

    Michigan: EPIC-MRA
    Obama 48, Romney 42

    Arizona: PPP
    Romney 52, Obama 41

    Ohio: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
    Obama 50, Romney 44

    Florida: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
    Obama 51, Romney 45

    Pennsylvania: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
    Obama 53, Romney 42

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction July 31
    Obama 332, Romney 206

    Aug01-noras.png
  • HndsmKansan

    Posts: 16509

    Aug 01, 2012 5:59 PM GMT
    Well I know that as of 8/1 things still very positive for the president!

    icon_biggrin.gif
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    Aug 01, 2012 8:11 PM GMT
    socalfitness saidIn a nutshell:

    1. Obama's lead in these states is temporary. It results from his campaign burning through their money, while the Romney campaign, the GOP, and all the SuperPACs have been relatively quiet the past few weeks. That will change with a highly funded, coordinated attack..


    COMPLETELY AGREE!

    There will be some BIG REPUBLICAN LIES coming. You can count on it.

    Shelson Adelson, The Koch Brothers and a their kind are not going to simply allow "The People to Decide".

    Also we've got people like socalfitness, for example, who seem to genuinely believe in the Big Conspiracy theories they've read on the most insane blogs the net has to offer. THESE LUNATICS BELIEVE SOME CRAZY SHIT and in their hysteria they will act accordingly.

    THE ONLY ANSWER is for Progressives to FIGHT BACK NOW.....with the truth about Romney and his band of robber barons and duped lunatics.

  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Aug 01, 2012 8:41 PM GMT
    Balancing said
    socalfitness saidIn a nutshell:

    1. Obama's lead in these states is temporary. It results from his campaign burning through their money, while the Romney campaign, the GOP, and all the SuperPACs have been relatively quiet the past few weeks. That will change with a highly funded, coordinated attack..


    COMPLETELY AGREE!

    There will be some BIG REPUBLICAN LIES coming. You can count on it.

    Shelson Adelson, The Koch Brothers and a their kind are not going to simply allow "The People to Decide".


    They won't have any choice. Mr. Taxes are for Poor People Romney does not have a path to 270.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Aug 24, 2012 10:33 PM GMT
    Updated Daily

    Update: Friday, August 24

    STATE POLLS

    Colorado: Keating (Aug 24)
    Obama 48, Romney 44

    Ohio: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac (Aug 23)
    Obama 50, Romney 44

    Ohio: Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Florida: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Wisconsin: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 47

    Wisconsin: Marquette University (Aug 22)
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Missouri: PPP (Aug 23)
    Romney 52, Obama 42

    Michigan: Detroit News (Aug 23)
    Obama 48, Romney 42

    Pennsylvania: Morning Call (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 40

    Nevada: LVRJ/SurveyUSA (Aug 22)
    Obama 47, Romney 45

    Massachusetts: PPP (Aug 22)
    Obama 55, Romney 39

    Vermont: Castleton State College (Aug 22)
    Obama 62, Romney 25

    POPULAR VOTE

    CNN/Opinion Research
    Obama 49, Romney 47

    Gallup Tracking (Aug 24)
    Obama 46, Romney 46

    LA Times/USC (Aug 23)
    Obama 48, Romney 46

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction August 23
    Obama 347, Romney 191

    Aug24-noras.png
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    Aug 25, 2012 6:32 AM GMT
    I'm glad to see Obama ahead,


    BUT HERE'S THE PROBLEM, some of the most important states where the races are the closest are where the Republs have voter suppression laws going into place. If the Repubs stop around 100,000 people in those states from voting or more, it could throw some of those states to Romney. It will only take a few states for them to win from this cheating tactic unless Obama can start widening his lead.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Aug 25, 2012 8:23 AM GMT
    realifedad saidI'm glad to see Obama ahead,


    BUT HERE'S THE PROBLEM, some of the most important states where the races are the closest are where the Republs have voter suppression laws going into place. If the Repubs stop around 100,000 people in those states from voting or more, it could throw some of those states to Romney. It will only take a few states for them to win from this cheating tactic unless Obama can start widening his lead.


    Smoke and mirrors, don't worry about it. The ground game will make sure these people vote. Republicans are playing voter suppression games, and it's sad, because they will ultimately fail.

    Mitt-Flop Romney, the Tax Cheat, and his granny-killing sidekick Paul Ryan has no path to 270. America does not want the anti-student, anti-Latino, anti-senior, anti-woman, anti-worker, anti-poor Republican Party.
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    Aug 25, 2012 12:56 PM GMT
    Bless your heart. Lately the polls for predicted election results dont mean shit. Keep watching your precious polls. Polls dont vote, people do. The majority of Americans have tuned out Obama and the silent majority will turn out.
  • roadbikeRob

    Posts: 22425

    Aug 25, 2012 2:48 PM GMT
    TroyAthlete saidUpdated Daily

    Update: Friday, August 24

    STATE POLLS

    Colorado: Keating (Aug 24)
    Obama 48, Romney 44

    Ohio: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac (Aug 23)
    Obama 50, Romney 44

    Ohio: Ohio Poll/Univ of Cin. (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Florida: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Wisconsin: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 47

    Wisconsin: Marquette University (Aug 22)
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Missouri: PPP (Aug 23)
    Romney 52, Obama 42

    Michigan: Detroit News (Aug 23)
    Obama 48, Romney 42

    Pennsylvania: Morning Call (Aug 23)
    Obama 49, Romney 40

    Nevada: LVRJ/SurveyUSA (Aug 22)
    Obama 47, Romney 45

    Massachusetts: PPP (Aug 22)
    Obama 55, Romney 39

    Vermont: Castleton State College (Aug 22)
    Obama 62, Romney 25

    POPULAR VOTE

    CNN/Opinion Research
    Obama 49, Romney 47

    Gallup Tracking (Aug 24)
    Obama 46, Romney 46

    LA Times/USC (Aug 23)
    Obama 48, Romney 46

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction August 23
    Obama 347, Romney 191

    Aug24-noras.png
    Now this appears to be a more accurate map because it shows Missouri as a solid red, republican state. Missouri has been swinging to the right wing for quite sometime and there is no change in sight.
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    Aug 25, 2012 3:02 PM GMT
    jock_1 saidBless your heart. Lately the polls for predicted election results dont mean shit. Keep watching your precious polls. Polls dont vote, people do. The majority of Americans have tuned out Obama and the silent majority will turn out.


    Funny, but I do not recall you saying that when Southbeach was posting daily Rasmussen polls showing Romney ahead.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Aug 25, 2012 3:34 PM GMT
    Ex_Mil8 said
    jock_1 saidBless your heart. Lately the polls for predicted election results dont mean shit. Keep watching your precious polls. Polls dont vote, people do. The majority of Americans have tuned out Obama and the silent majority will turn out.


    Funny, but I do not recall you saying that when Southbeach was posting daily Rasmussen polls showing Romney ahead.


    The way right-wingers deal with the fact that Romney has no viable path to 270 electoral votes is by putting their fingers in their ears and saying "la la la la la la la la la la la la la la la la la la."

    Other than Rasmussen, a pollster no serious student of horserace politics takes seriously, they have nothing else to cling to. The only polls that matter to them are the outliers that occasionally give them hope. Jock_1 routinely cites polls to try to show that Romney is going to win Wisconsin, but of course, here now he is trying to pretend that polls don't matter.

    Right-wing gays are tools. Hated by their own party, and irrelevant.
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    Aug 26, 2012 4:29 PM GMT
    Ex_Mil8 said
    jock_1 saidBless your heart. Lately the polls for predicted election results dont mean shit. Keep watching your precious polls. Polls dont vote, people do. The majority of Americans have tuned out Obama and the silent majority will turn out.


    Funny, but I do not recall you saying that when Southbeach was posting daily Rasmussen polls showing Romney ahead.


    I dont really believe in polls. I believe in what I know and I just have a feeling that the support for Obama is just not there. I still have faith in our country and believe that people want to work, be productive and try to get ahead in life, not live off of entitlements and social programs with no incentive to actually work for a living. Not to look towards government as every answer in life but get government out of the way.
  • KissTheSky

    Posts: 2487

    Aug 26, 2012 5:21 PM GMT
    It's great to see Wisconsin still leaning to Obama. If Romney loses that state, in addition to losing the general election, it means that adding the anti-gay, Medicare-killing Ryan to his ticket brought him NOTHING.
    A huge failure for Ryan and what he represents, which is a war on women and the middle class.
    In addition to losing, I want the Romney/Ryan platform clearly rejected -- Americans are tired of expecting the middle class to sacrifice to reward the super-rich.
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    Aug 26, 2012 5:40 PM GMT
    Romney and Obama tied in Florida according to the RCP average for that state.
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    Aug 26, 2012 11:22 PM GMT
    KissTheSky saidIt's great to see Wisconsin still leaning to Obama. If Romney loses that state, in addition to losing the general election, it means that adding the anti-gay, Medicare-killing Ryan to his ticket brought him NOTHING.
    A huge failure for Ryan and what he represents, which is a war on women and the middle class.
    In addition to losing, I want the Romney/Ryan platform clearly rejected -- Americans are tired of expecting the middle class to sacrifice to reward the super-rich.


    Yes, why under Obama the middle class has lost an average of $4,500 per household of income. The worst ever for a president. You go Obama !! the middle class loves you!!