ELECTION UPDATE Sept 24: Obama up in Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Nevada

  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Aug 27, 2012 12:40 AM GMT
    jock_1 said
    KissTheSky saidIt's great to see Wisconsin still leaning to Obama. If Romney loses that state, in addition to losing the general election, it means that adding the anti-gay, Medicare-killing Ryan to his ticket brought him NOTHING.
    A huge failure for Ryan and what he represents, which is a war on women and the middle class.
    In addition to losing, I want the Romney/Ryan platform clearly rejected -- Americans are tired of expecting the middle class to sacrifice to reward the super-rich.


    Yes, why under Obama the middle class has lost an average of $4,500 per household of income. The worst ever for a president. You go Obama !! the middle class loves you!!




    AND YOU ACTUALLY BELIEVE OBAMA DID THIS ALL BY HIMSELF ?


    No help from the Reagonomics started in the 80's and exacerbated under Bush's sending jobs over seas and putting us in a downward spiral of debt ?

    you really think the above had nothing to do with the demise of the Middle class ?

    you really think Obama did this alone ?
  • HndsmKansan

    Posts: 16509

    Aug 27, 2012 2:13 AM GMT
    Thanks for the daily tracking poll, much appreciated. I'm always looking them up to see how things are going. Your information looks pretty accurate.

    I might disagree with the electoral map.. I think that is a little too positive for Obama... I think a couple of those states will end up in the Romney pile.
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9225

    Aug 27, 2012 3:13 AM GMT
    jock_1 saidBless your heart. Lately the polls for predicted election results dont mean shit. Keep watching your precious polls. Polls dont vote, people do. The majority of Americans have tuned out Obama and the silent majority will turn out.



    Ever notice that the losers ALWAYS poo poo the polls ?

    LOL.
  • Webster666

    Posts: 9225

    Aug 27, 2012 3:31 AM GMT
    Pretty sad for the Republicans when they can't win Romney and Ryan's THREE home states: MI, MA, and WI !

    e6f41t.jpg
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Sep 19, 2012 9:47 PM GMT
    Updated Weekly

    Update: Wednesday, September 19

    STATE POLLS

    Colorado: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
    Obama 48, Romney 47

    Colorado: Rasmussen
    Romney 47, Obama 45, Romney 47

    Virginia: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
    Obama 50, Romney 46

    Virginia: WeAskAmerica
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Virginia: Romney vs. Obama
    Obama 52, Romney 44

    Virginia: PPP
    Obama 51, Romney 46

    Wisconsin: CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac
    Obama 51, Romney 45

    Wisconsin: Marquette University
    Obama 54, Romney 40

    Florida: Gravis Marketing
    Romney 48, Obama 47

    Michigan: MRG
    Obama 48, Romney 42

    Michigan: Baydoun/Foster (D)
    Obama 46, Romney 44

    Pennsylvania: Morning Call
    Obama 50, Romney 41

    New Hampshire: ARG
    Obama 48, Romney 47

    New Hampshire: Rasmussen
    Romney 48, Obama 45

    POPULAR VOTE

    Gallup Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 46

    Pew Research
    Obama 51, Romney 43

    Associated Press/GfK
    Obama 47, Romney 46

    Rasmussen
    Romney 47, Obama 46

    NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl
    Obama 50, Romney 45

    Monmouth/SurveyUSA/Braun
    Obama 48, Romney 45

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction September 18
    Obama 332, Romney 206

    Sep19-noras.png
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 24068

    Sep 19, 2012 10:01 PM GMT
    Webster666 saidPretty sad for the Republicans when they can't win Romney and Ryan's THREE home states: MI, MA, and WI !

    e6f41t.jpg



    I wasn't aware anyone had voted yet. Not so fast, bucko. icon_wink.gif
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 19, 2012 10:01 PM GMT
    Yup - its time for some polling updates.

    New polls out in the last 24-48 hours:

    Pew poll showing Obama with an eight point lead
    http://www.people-press.org/2012/09/19/obama-ahead-with-stronger-support-better-image-and-lead-on-most-issues/

    NBC/WSJ poll showing Obama with a five point lead
    http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/09/18/13944838-nbcwsj-poll-obama-leads-romney-nationally-by-5-points?lite

    Great poll numbers - but we must get our asses to the polls November 6th to ensure victory.
  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 24068

    Sep 19, 2012 10:21 PM GMT
    TroyAthlete said

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction September 18
    Obama 332, Romney 206

    Sep19-noras.png



    The above would be one interpretation of current polling, while below could be another should Romney do well in all 3 debates.

    ef52a0f2dccfb07b4478985e8840aed1_zpsf6a4


    Anyone getting too comfy based on mostly biased or skewed poll numbers are doing so at their own peril. This is by no means a done deal for Obama...

    http://www.inquisitr.com/331816/romney-leading-obama-in-new-presidential-poll/

    http://news.yahoo.com/obamas-lead-over-romney-narrows-5-points-reuters-010626775.html

    http://www.examiner.com/article/mitt-romney-likely-win-presidential-election-shown-by-three-key-polls
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 19, 2012 10:28 PM GMT
    CJAZ is posting RASMUSSEN poll numbers.
    LMFAO

    Rasmussen is a joke.
    They were the most inaccurate and the most biased (pro-Repub) in the last election.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

    Rasmussen's numbers have also looked very fishy in this election as well.
    They've consistently made Romney look like he's doing better than any of the other pollsters have.

  • CuriousJockAZ

    Posts: 24068

    Sep 19, 2012 10:41 PM GMT
    RickRick91 saidCJAZ is posting RASMUSSEN poll numbers.
    LMFAO

    Rasmussen is a joke.
    They were the most inaccurate and the most biased (pro-Repub) in the last election.

    http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/11/04/rasmussen-polls-were-biased-and-inaccurate-quinnipiac-surveyusa-performed-strongly/

    Rasmussen's numbers have also looked very fishy in this election as well.
    They've consistently made Romney look like he's doing better than any of the other pollsters have.




    And yet in the recent Wisconsin recall election for Governor, Rasmussen was one of the only polls showing a clear Scott Walker win (if a win at all) while all your other so called reputable non-biased polls had Walker losing. It didn't exactly work out that way did it? And let's not even talk about how inaccurate most polls were in the 2004 election cycle. Nearly all of them had Sen Kerry as our next President. Which brings me back to the cold hard fact that POLLS are bunk. Don't believe any of them because the only truly accurate one that counts is on election day.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 19, 2012 10:51 PM GMT
    " the only truly accurate one that counts is on election day."

    Absolutely..........and beautifully said, CJAZ.

    REGISTER and VOTE.....

    .....unless you want a Conservaposse-style government--------taking us to a

    further divided, repressed and angry country than we already have.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 20, 2012 12:00 AM GMT
    Any map that predicts a GOP victory in Oregon, Pennsylvania, or Maine is a complete joke.

    That would be like saying Obama would win Idaho.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Sep 20, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
    libertpaulian saidAny map that predicts a GOP victory in Oregon, Pennsylvania, or Maine is a complete joke.

    That would be like saying Obama would win Idaho.


    Actually, based on current polling any map that predicts a Romney victory in Virginia, Wisconsin, or Ohio right now is a complete joke. A map prediciting a Romney victory in Maine, Oregon, and Pennsylvania is less a complete joke than simply batcrap crazy.

    Then again, the person who posted that map is a complete joke, so why would the map be any different.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Sep 20, 2012 7:30 PM GMT
    Update: Thursday, September 20

    STATE POLLS

    Florida: WeAskAmerica
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Florida: FOX News
    Obama 49, Romney 44

    Ohio: FOX News
    Obama 49, Romney 42

    Virginia: FOX News
    Obama 50, Romney 43

    Wisconsin: PPP
    Obama 52, Romney 45

    Wisconsin: Rasmussen Reports
    Obama 49, Romney 46

    Nevada: Rasmussen Reports
    Obama 47, Romney 45

    Iowa: Rasmussen Reports
    Romney 47, Obama 44

    Pennsylvania: WeAskAmerica
    Obama 48, Romney 42

    Michigan: Detroit News
    Obama 52, Romney 38

    POPULAR VOTE

    Gallup Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 47

    Rasmussen Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 45

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction September 19
    Obama 332, Romney 206

    Sep19-noras.png
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 20, 2012 7:52 PM GMT
    New FOX NEWS poll shows President Obama leading:

    http://m.yahoo.com/w/legobpengine/news/blogs/ticket/poll-shows-obama-leads-romney-key-swing-states-150338499--election.html?orig_host_hdr=news.yahoo.com&.intl=US&.lang=en-US

    As the link highlights - the Gallup and Rasmussen polls are outliers (or more appropriately - outliars) - and their poll numbers continue to look very suspect.
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    Sep 20, 2012 8:10 PM GMT
    Exclusive poll: Obama with double-digit lead over Romney in Michigan

    Poll: President Obama has 52 percent of Michigan vote to Mitt Romney's 38 percent, thanks to women

    http://www.clickondetroit.com/news/politics/Exclusive-poll-Obama-with-double-digit-lead-over-Romney-in-Michigan/-/1719386/16669634/-/t87yue/-/index.html
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 20, 2012 9:41 PM GMT
    Of course, the popular vote is really a sub-plot. The presidency will be won or lost in the Electoral College and, as the figures above show, that is looking pretty rosy for President Obama.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 20, 2012 10:43 PM GMT
    I dont put much into polls, they have proven again and again over the past few years mainly to be wrong. In our recall Walker election the polls showed it to be close yet Walker won by more votes than the first election. The latest polls taken here are a joke showing Obama leading by 14 points...lol. The poll was shown to be over-sampled with democrats (what a shock). Romney wins Wisconsin like I have said all along.
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 20, 2012 10:54 PM GMT
    jock_1 said Romney wins Wisconsin like I have said all along.


    You could be right. It's up to all of us to REGISTER and VOTE to keep this nightmare from happening.

    OTOH,

    PAUL RYAN COULD LOSE HIS SEAT IN CONGRESS TOO(without becoming the next VP).

    Rob Zerban For Congress
    www.robzerban.com

    THE DEMOCRAT, ROB ZERBAN IS A GREAT CHOICE, RJ CHEESEHEADS!
  • Posted by a hidden member.
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    Sep 20, 2012 11:39 PM GMT
    jock_1 saidI dont put much into polls, they have proven again and again over the past few years mainly to be wrong. In our recall Walker election the polls showed it to be close yet Walker won by more votes than the first election. The latest polls taken here are a joke showing Obama leading by 14 points...lol. The poll was shown to be over-sampled with democrats (what a shock). Romney wins Wisconsin like I have said all along.




    That's bold of you to predict that blue state WI will be won by Romney.
    We'll see after the election whether your prediction was informed or just wishful thinking.
    Personally, I think it's best to let the experts make the predictions.
    And even they aren't always correct.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Sep 21, 2012 1:02 AM GMT
    jock_1 saidI dont put much into polls, they have proven again and again over the past few years mainly to be wrong. In our recall Walker election the polls showed it to be close yet Walker won by more votes than the first election. The latest polls taken here are a joke showing Obama leading by 14 points...lol. The poll was shown to be over-sampled with democrats (what a shock). Romney wins Wisconsin like I have said all along.


    False. The final four Wisconsin recall polls conducted from two weeks till two days before the recall were Norbert (Walker +5), Marquette (Walker +7), PPP (Walker +3), and WeAskAmerica (Walker +12). That averages out to polls having predicted a comfortable Walker victory of 6.7 points.

    Walker's actual victory: 6.8 points.

    So, no, the polls did not show it to be close. The polls accurately predicted both Walker's win and the margin. Those same polls showed Obama winning in November. Polling averages still show Obama leading comfortably in Wisconsin.

    Lyin Ryan has made clear that facts don't matter to Wisconsin Republicans, but if you're going to lie at least make sure it's not easily debunked:
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/governor/wi/wisconsin_governor_recall_election_walker_vs_barrett-3056.html

  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Sep 24, 2012 7:32 PM GMT
    Updated Weekly

    Update: Monday, September 24

    STATE POLLS

    Colorado: PPP
    Obama 51, Romney 45

    North Carolina: Civitas
    Obama 49, Romney 45

    Nevada: ARG
    Obama 51, Romney 44

    Iowa: ARG
    Obama 51, Romney 44

    Florida: ARG
    Obama 50, Romney 45

    Michigan: Rasmussen Reports
    Obama 54, Romney 42

    Wisconsin: WeAskAmerica
    Obama 53, Romney 41

    Pennsylvania: Mercyhurst University
    Obama 48, Romney 40

    Minnesota: Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon
    Obama 48, Romney 40

    POPULAR VOTE

    Politico/GWU/Battleground
    Obama 50, Romney 47

    Gallup Tracking
    Obama 48, Romney 46

    Rasmussen Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 46

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction September 20
    Obama 347, Romney 191

    Sep24-noras.png
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    Sep 24, 2012 8:42 PM GMT
    TroyAthlete saidUpdated Weekly

    Update: Monday, September 24

    STATE POLLS

    Colorado: PPP
    Obama 51, Romney 45

    North Carolina: Civitas
    Obama 49, Romney 45

    Nevada: ARG
    Obama 51, Romney 44

    Iowa: ARG
    Obama 51, Romney 44

    Florida: ARG
    Obama 50, Romney 45

    Michigan: Rasmussen Reports
    Obama 54, Romney 42

    Wisconsin: WeAskAmerica
    Obama 53, Romney 41

    Pennsylvania: Mercyhurst University
    Obama 48, Romney 40

    Minnesota: Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon
    Obama 48, Romney 40

    POPULAR VOTE

    Politico/GWU/Battleground
    Obama 50, Romney 47

    Gallup Tracking
    Obama 48, Romney 46

    Rasmussen Tracking
    Obama 47, Romney 46

    Electoral-vote.com Prediction September 20
    Obama 347, Romney 191

    Sep24-noras.png






    President Obama has even taken the lead in North Carolina.

    If a former red southern state like NC turns reliably blue - the Repubs are truly screwed.
  • AllAmericanJo...

    Posts: 4271

    Sep 24, 2012 10:19 PM GMT
    Yeah, Rick, North Carolina is turning back to Obama for now. Even if that does not hold, Obama does not really need North Carolina anymore. Wisconsin appears to be out of play, with at least three recent polls showing Obama with a double-digit lead there. Since Obama is holding strong in Ohio and Virginia, Romney would need to sweep every other swing state to win. A tough hurdle, especially since Florida is also trending towards Obama and Romney has not been competitive in Nevada. It doesn't help matters that the GOP candidate in Florida is too far right and running behind Democrat Ben Nelson.

    Romney is in deep trouble electorally. Looks like the debates will be his last chance to turn it around.